Florida will no longer be a Swing-State...

[DS0816]

Since 1992, the average number of carried states have been 29 with the range between 25 (a 2020 Joe Biden) and 32 (a 1992 Bill Clinton).

During this period—so far numbering 28 years and 8 presidential-election cycles—no winner has carried more than 8 of the nation’s Top 10 populous states.

Since the Democrats won in 2020, here is where they ranked (for them):
01. California +29.15
02. New York +23.09
03. Illinois +16.94
— U.S. Popular Vote +4.45 —
04. Michigan +2.78 (pickup)
05. Pennsylvania +1.18 (pickup)
06. Georgia +0.24 (pickup)
— Not Carried —
07. North Carolina –1.35
08. Florida –3.35
09. Texas –5.57
10. Ohio –8.02

What I sense would happen—if it does turn out Donald Trump’s Republican pickup of the presidency including flipping Florida to the Republicans and realigning it to their party—is that Florida will become the Democrats’s No. 9 best state (among their best in the Top 10) while Texas will become their No. 8.

[DS0816]

I reject the very premise of this title. We are and always will be a swing state.

From 1880 to 1924, a period of 44 years and 12 election cycles, Florida was in the column for Democrats every time. But, during that specific period, they won just 4 cycles: 1884, 1892, 1912, and 1916.

That is one example why Florida has not “always” been “a swing state.”