Rasmussen is the only poll to have Obama down in Virginia over this past week.
Go Mitt, go!
Do me a favor and go back to our 2008 polling page. Look at Rasmussen's final polls:
Colorado: Rasmussen (O +4 ) Final Result: (O + 9)
Nevada: Rasmussen (O + 4) Final Result: (O + 12)
Wisconsin: Rasmussen ( O + 7) Final Result: (O + 14)
Ohio: Rasmussen (Tie) Final Result: (O + 5)
Florida: Rasmussen (M + 1) Final Result: (O + 3)
Virginia: Rasmussen (O + 4) Final Result: (O + 6)
North Carolina: Rasmussen (M + 1) Final Result: (O + 1)
New Hampshire: Rasmussen (O + 4) Final Result: (O + 9)
What was that about reliable??
They were using the wrong 2004 turnout model and came up with ridiculous results.
The same thing can happen to PPP this time.
Is there any logical reason to accept Ras and drop PPP? Ras had an terribly bad R house effect in 2010. PPP, believe or not, leaned slightly R last time around. Ras is basically the only poll that has Romney leading anywhere other than NC and FL.
It depends on whether we wish to predict the outcome correctly, or stick to the known, previously accurate pollster.
I’m not objective here, because I hope Romney will win and no matter how much I try, some of that hope is projected onto my reasoning.
But look at CNN for instance. They seem to have chosen the middle road between PPP and Rasmussen. The reason – to minimize their error.
