Sabato: Calling the House Tossups (user search)
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  Sabato: Calling the House Tossups (search mode)
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Author Topic: Sabato: Calling the House Tossups  (Read 1466 times)
Torie
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Atlas Legend
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Posts: 46,074
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« on: October 30, 2014, 11:01:56 AM »

What is by far the most probable, is that at least 10 of Sabato's calls are wrong. Smiley

One call I think is wrong is NY-18. I think it will go Pub, and NY-24 is now a true toss up. The Dems are headed towards a pretty terrible election night in NY. The Dems are listless and demoralized. Meanwhile, interesting things are happening in CA, including a sudden money dump by the Dems into CA-24, a seat that has all along not really been considered at risk.
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Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,074
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2014, 05:48:03 PM »

According to Sabato, it looks like R+6 or so, which I can live with.

Isn't it plus 9 Pub?  Anyway, I'm sticking with R+12, as a wild guess, and that is what all of us are doing at the margins, just making wild guesses. Nobody really knows.
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