To what extent should Biden invest in Texas?

[Ferguson97]

Yes, Biden should invest in a state that is worth 40 electoral votes and that he lost by only 5%

[Ferguson97]

If Biden doesn't want a hostile Senate in a second term, it pretty much requires defeating Ted Cruz.

And if he wants any shot at getting another Supreme Court appointment.

A possible scenario is that he narrowly loses the Senate in 2024 then wins it back in 2026.

Why would Cruz win against Cornyn?

[Ferguson97]

I feel like losing TX would actually be a huge blow to the GOP whereas AZ/GA/CO/VA drifting away from the GOP are just cuts they can still make up for. Right now, I don't think the GOP has any sort of realistic electoral path without Texas (assuming Dems also carry GA and AZ), which would really force the party to do some soul searching.

I feel like we're too polarized for a party to be locked out of the electoral college like that, I think that if the Democrats are consistently winning Texas, they're making up ground elsewhere.