‘We’re thinking landslide’: Beyond D.C., GOP officials see Trump on glide path to reelection
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  ‘We’re thinking landslide’: Beyond D.C., GOP officials see Trump on glide path to reelection
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
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« Reply #50 on: June 16, 2020, 11:22:44 AM »

Nobody knows, but if he really got 300,000 people to sign up for his Tulsa rally it's gargantuan. This weekend, thousands of people lined the piers of San Diego to celebrate his 74th birthday. The support out there for him is massive. But we've created so many echo chambers on the left that we don't understand why he is so popular.

Some liberals across the nation sign up for his rallies with no intention of going just to keep the seats empty.

And in any case rally size doesn't mean anything in terms of electoral results. Just ask Democratic nominee Bernie Sanders.

He has a cult base, sure, we know that. But there are no signs he's expanded it or that it will be enough for him.

Bernie's largest rally was around 25,000 IIRC. 300,000 is out of this world level.

There’s an enormous difference between entering your name on a website and actually attending a rally, Beet. I know at least some of those 300,000 are liberals screwing with the Trump campaign and many of the rest may have no intent of attending.

Good god it's a million now. Even if half a million liberals were just entering their names into his website to screw with him this is shaping up to be the biggest political rally in national history, if not world history. Trump's popularity is messianic. We need more Trump supporters here because most people here don't understand him or his people.

This is beyond weak, Beet. You need to up your concern-trolling game. You're better than this.

Trump's support has become so rural, so white, and so segregated from the rest of American society, their entire conception of the political mainstream is ridiculously skewed. They have their own religion (non-denominational "Bible churches"), their own news network, their own sports, their own music, and their own movies. They cover vast swaths of rural America, so you can drive literally for days and not leave Trump Country. Naturally they think they're the mainstream, when really they are the sad reactionaries getting left behind.

If Biden wins, it will be a complete shock to these people. They have no idea how most of this country thinks.
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Ogre Mage
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« Reply #51 on: June 16, 2020, 11:25:08 AM »
« Edited: June 16, 2020, 11:31:58 AM by Ogre Mage »

Quote
“We’re calling him ‘Teflon Trump.’ Nothing’s going to stick, because if anything, it’s getting more exciting than it was in 2016.”

This year, Stephens said, “We’re thinking landslide.”

If these GOP officials were saying Trumpvirus can still pull out a win I don't think that would be particularly controversial.  But the fact they are claiming he will "landslide" win is absurd given the abject, fatal failure which has occurred on his watch not to mention the mountain of data contradicting that idea.  

Trumpvirus has always had a hard-core cult who follows him blindly no matter how badly he f**ks up the country.  That isn't news and doesn't say anything about him winning in a "landslide."  It just means he has a decent floor.

Perhaps some of the true believers could point out what he has done to win over voters outside of the Trumpvirus cult.  Because that is what is required for a "landslide" win.  Not one where you eke out an electoral college victory while losing the popular vote.

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Beet
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« Reply #52 on: June 16, 2020, 11:43:51 AM »

Nobody knows, but if he really got 300,000 people to sign up for his Tulsa rally it's gargantuan. This weekend, thousands of people lined the piers of San Diego to celebrate his 74th birthday. The support out there for him is massive. But we've created so many echo chambers on the left that we don't understand why he is so popular.

Some liberals across the nation sign up for his rallies with no intention of going just to keep the seats empty.

And in any case rally size doesn't mean anything in terms of electoral results. Just ask Democratic nominee Bernie Sanders.

He has a cult base, sure, we know that. But there are no signs he's expanded it or that it will be enough for him.

Bernie's largest rally was around 25,000 IIRC. 300,000 is out of this world level.

There’s an enormous difference between entering your name on a website and actually attending a rally, Beet. I know at least some of those 300,000 are liberals screwing with the Trump campaign and many of the rest may have no intent of attending.

Good god it's a million now. Even if half a million liberals were just entering their names into his website to screw with him this is shaping up to be the biggest political rally in national history, if not world history. Trump's popularity is messianic. We need more Trump supporters here because most people here don't understand him or his people.

This is beyond weak, Beet. You need to up your concern-trolling game. You're better than this.

Trump's support has become so rural, so white, and so segregated from the rest of American society, their entire conception of the political mainstream is ridiculously skewed. They have their own religion (non-denominational "Bible churches"), their own news network, their own sports, their own music, and their own movies. They cover vast swaths of rural America, so you can drive literally for days and not leave Trump Country. Naturally they think they're the mainstream, when really they are the sad reactionaries getting left behind.

If Biden wins, it will be a complete shock to these people. They have no idea how most of this country thinks.

Concern trolling? How is it concern trolling when Trump has already won the last election and is the POTUS? When he was first elected I remember a lot of people saying he wouldn't last until the midterms. Then Mueller was going to get him. It hasn't been him or his supporters who turned out wrong, it has been his critics. In 2016 I was one of the only posters here who said he would win.

Next it'll be, "Stop concern trolling Beet. The Reagan Revolution isn't going to damage the labor movement or the middle class. We here in West Germany find him detestable."

But what is the actual reality?

White people are the majority and in power (no matter who wins) and the electoral college favors rural areas over urban ones. The rural white Trump base is the mainstream, their conception of American society is American society because they are, and their religion is the American religion. Their news networks like OANN, sports, music, and movies are the hegemonic norm, and that's why you can drive for hundreds of miles and not leave it.

It's us, Atlas, The NY Times, NBC, who are out of the mainstream. It's we who are the reactionaries reacting to them. It's our job to understand them, and respect their reality. That's why we need more of them on here, and to give them a greater voice in our spaces. This is the absolute fact, and you can call me names, persecute me, or do whatever you want but no amount of lashing out can affect the truth.
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #53 on: June 16, 2020, 11:55:16 AM »

Nobody knows, but if he really got 300,000 people to sign up for his Tulsa rally it's gargantuan. This weekend, thousands of people lined the piers of San Diego to celebrate his 74th birthday. The support out there for him is massive. But we've created so many echo chambers on the left that we don't understand why he is so popular.

Some liberals across the nation sign up for his rallies with no intention of going just to keep the seats empty.

And in any case rally size doesn't mean anything in terms of electoral results. Just ask Democratic nominee Bernie Sanders.

He has a cult base, sure, we know that. But there are no signs he's expanded it or that it will be enough for him.

Bernie's largest rally was around 25,000 IIRC. 300,000 is out of this world level.

There’s an enormous difference between entering your name on a website and actually attending a rally, Beet. I know at least some of those 300,000 are liberals screwing with the Trump campaign and many of the rest may have no intent of attending.

Good god it's a million now. Even if half a million liberals were just entering their names into his website to screw with him this is shaping up to be the biggest political rally in national history, if not world history. Trump's popularity is messianic. We need more Trump supporters here because most people here don't understand him or his people.

This is beyond weak, Beet. You need to up your concern-trolling game. You're better than this.

Trump's support has become so rural, so white, and so segregated from the rest of American society, their entire conception of the political mainstream is ridiculously skewed. They have their own religion (non-denominational "Bible churches"), their own news network, their own sports, their own music, and their own movies. They cover vast swaths of rural America, so you can drive literally for days and not leave Trump Country. Naturally they think they're the mainstream, when really they are the sad reactionaries getting left behind.

If Biden wins, it will be a complete shock to these people. They have no idea how most of this country thinks.

Concern trolling? How is it concern trolling when Trump has already won the last election and is the POTUS? When he was first elected I remember a lot of people saying he wouldn't last until the midterms. Then Mueller was going to get him. It hasn't been him or his supporters who turned out wrong, it has been his critics. In 2016 I was one of the only posters here who said he would win.

Next it'll be, "Stop concern trolling Beet. The Reagan Revolution isn't going to damage the labor movement or the middle class. We here in West Germany find him detestable."

But what is the actual reality?

White people are the majority and in power (no matter who wins) and the electoral college favors rural areas over urban ones. The rural white Trump base is the mainstream, their conception of American society is American society because they are, and their religion is the American religion. Their news networks like OANN, sports, music, and movies are the hegemonic norm, and that's why you can drive for hundreds of miles and not leave it.

It's us, Atlas, The NY Times, NBC, who are out of the mainstream. It's we who are the reactionaries reacting to them. It's our job to understand them, and respect their reality. That's why we need more of them on here, and to give them a greater voice in our spaces. This is the absolute fact, and you can call me names, persecute me, or do whatever you want but no amount of lashing out can affect the truth.
You also said Tulsi would be the nominee in 2020, Biden would have to drop out, and that Bernie would sweep the primary in a Kerry-like fashion. Your predictions are more predictive of the wrong outcome than the right outcome, lol
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NHI
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« Reply #54 on: June 16, 2020, 12:03:15 PM »

Not surprised by this articles. The levels of disconnect are alarming. 
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #55 on: June 16, 2020, 12:11:27 PM »

https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2020/06/16/politics/tiktok-trump-tulsa-rally-trnd/index.html?__twitter_impression=true

CC: Beet
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
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« Reply #56 on: June 16, 2020, 12:41:19 PM »

Nobody knows, but if he really got 300,000 people to sign up for his Tulsa rally it's gargantuan. This weekend, thousands of people lined the piers of San Diego to celebrate his 74th birthday. The support out there for him is massive. But we've created so many echo chambers on the left that we don't understand why he is so popular.

Some liberals across the nation sign up for his rallies with no intention of going just to keep the seats empty.

And in any case rally size doesn't mean anything in terms of electoral results. Just ask Democratic nominee Bernie Sanders.

He has a cult base, sure, we know that. But there are no signs he's expanded it or that it will be enough for him.

Bernie's largest rally was around 25,000 IIRC. 300,000 is out of this world level.

There’s an enormous difference between entering your name on a website and actually attending a rally, Beet. I know at least some of those 300,000 are liberals screwing with the Trump campaign and many of the rest may have no intent of attending.

Good god it's a million now. Even if half a million liberals were just entering their names into his website to screw with him this is shaping up to be the biggest political rally in national history, if not world history. Trump's popularity is messianic. We need more Trump supporters here because most people here don't understand him or his people.

This is beyond weak, Beet. You need to up your concern-trolling game. You're better than this.

Trump's support has become so rural, so white, and so segregated from the rest of American society, their entire conception of the political mainstream is ridiculously skewed. They have their own religion (non-denominational "Bible churches"), their own news network, their own sports, their own music, and their own movies. They cover vast swaths of rural America, so you can drive literally for days and not leave Trump Country. Naturally they think they're the mainstream, when really they are the sad reactionaries getting left behind.

If Biden wins, it will be a complete shock to these people. They have no idea how most of this country thinks.

Concern trolling? How is it concern trolling when Trump has already won the last election and is the POTUS? When he was first elected I remember a lot of people saying he wouldn't last until the midterms. Then Mueller was going to get him. It hasn't been him or his supporters who turned out wrong, it has been his critics. In 2016 I was one of the only posters here who said he would win.

Next it'll be, "Stop concern trolling Beet. The Reagan Revolution isn't going to damage the labor movement or the middle class. We here in West Germany find him detestable."

But what is the actual reality?

White people are the majority and in power (no matter who wins) and the electoral college favors rural areas over urban ones. The rural white Trump base is the mainstream, their conception of American society is American society because they are, and their religion is the American religion. Their news networks like OANN, sports, music, and movies are the hegemonic norm, and that's why you can drive for hundreds of miles and not leave it.

It's us, Atlas, The NY Times, NBC, who are out of the mainstream. It's we who are the reactionaries reacting to them. It's our job to understand them, and respect their reality. That's why we need more of them on here, and to give them a greater voice in our spaces. This is the absolute fact, and you can call me names, persecute me, or do whatever you want but no amount of lashing out can affect the truth.

Taking up more space doesn't make you the mainstream.

Let's put it this way: Trump won white men 62% to 31%. If only white men voted, Trump would have won by the biggest landslide in Presidential history. He won all white voters 57% to 37%. That would have been a bigger landslide than Reagan's re-election, and on par with Nixon in 1972. Take a look at the NYT precinct-level map of the 2016 election. There are vast stretches, even in blue states, where Hillary Clinton didn't even get 20% of the vote. A lot of stretches where she didn't even get 10%.

And yet Hillary Clinton won nearly three million more votes than Donald Trump nationally.

White men are literally 33 points to the right of the nation. Rural America is 60-some points to the right of the nation.

I spent a decade in Evangelical churches. I used to live in rural Wisconsin. I have seen rural, white America drift away from the mainstream, starting in the late-80s. The following beliefs are mainstream in Trump America, and laughable in the rest of the country:

The Bible in its original form is literally (or substantially) true.
Common descent of humans and non-human animals is "just a theory."
Global Warming is a myth concocted by scientists who hate capitalism
Academia hates America and our universities are teaching white children to hate themselves
Sexual orientation is a choice and can be "fixed"
Sex before marriage is morally wrong (and yet they do it anyway)
The father should have final authority over the nuclear family
People are poor because they don't work hard enough
English should be the nation's official language

These kinds of cultural views are marginal among the American population at large, but majority or predominant in Trump country. Not only are they completely out of touch, they don't even know they're completely out of touch. Even the moderates and liberals living among them think they are a radical minority.
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Beet
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« Reply #57 on: June 16, 2020, 01:15:28 PM »

Nobody knows, but if he really got 300,000 people to sign up for his Tulsa rally it's gargantuan. This weekend, thousands of people lined the piers of San Diego to celebrate his 74th birthday. The support out there for him is massive. But we've created so many echo chambers on the left that we don't understand why he is so popular.

Some liberals across the nation sign up for his rallies with no intention of going just to keep the seats empty.

And in any case rally size doesn't mean anything in terms of electoral results. Just ask Democratic nominee Bernie Sanders.

He has a cult base, sure, we know that. But there are no signs he's expanded it or that it will be enough for him.

Bernie's largest rally was around 25,000 IIRC. 300,000 is out of this world level.

There’s an enormous difference between entering your name on a website and actually attending a rally, Beet. I know at least some of those 300,000 are liberals screwing with the Trump campaign and many of the rest may have no intent of attending.

Good god it's a million now. Even if half a million liberals were just entering their names into his website to screw with him this is shaping up to be the biggest political rally in national history, if not world history. Trump's popularity is messianic. We need more Trump supporters here because most people here don't understand him or his people.

This is beyond weak, Beet. You need to up your concern-trolling game. You're better than this.

Trump's support has become so rural, so white, and so segregated from the rest of American society, their entire conception of the political mainstream is ridiculously skewed. They have their own religion (non-denominational "Bible churches"), their own news network, their own sports, their own music, and their own movies. They cover vast swaths of rural America, so you can drive literally for days and not leave Trump Country. Naturally they think they're the mainstream, when really they are the sad reactionaries getting left behind.

If Biden wins, it will be a complete shock to these people. They have no idea how most of this country thinks.

Concern trolling? How is it concern trolling when Trump has already won the last election and is the POTUS? When he was first elected I remember a lot of people saying he wouldn't last until the midterms. Then Mueller was going to get him. It hasn't been him or his supporters who turned out wrong, it has been his critics. In 2016 I was one of the only posters here who said he would win.

Next it'll be, "Stop concern trolling Beet. The Reagan Revolution isn't going to damage the labor movement or the middle class. We here in West Germany find him detestable."

But what is the actual reality?

White people are the majority and in power (no matter who wins) and the electoral college favors rural areas over urban ones. The rural white Trump base is the mainstream, their conception of American society is American society because they are, and their religion is the American religion. Their news networks like OANN, sports, music, and movies are the hegemonic norm, and that's why you can drive for hundreds of miles and not leave it.

It's us, Atlas, The NY Times, NBC, who are out of the mainstream. It's we who are the reactionaries reacting to them. It's our job to understand them, and respect their reality. That's why we need more of them on here, and to give them a greater voice in our spaces. This is the absolute fact, and you can call me names, persecute me, or do whatever you want but no amount of lashing out can affect the truth.

Taking up more space doesn't make you the mainstream.

Let's put it this way: Trump won white men 62% to 31%. If only white men voted, Trump would have won by the biggest landslide in Presidential history. He won all white voters 57% to 37%. That would have been a bigger landslide than Reagan's re-election, and on par with Nixon in 1972. Take a look at the NYT precinct-level map of the 2016 election. There are vast stretches, even in blue states, where Hillary Clinton didn't even get 20% of the vote. A lot of stretches where she didn't even get 10%.

And yet Hillary Clinton won nearly three million more votes than Donald Trump nationally.

White men are literally 33 points to the right of the nation. Rural America is 60-some points to the right of the nation.

You can literally do this with any demographic. By the same standard Black women are 88 points to the left of the nation.

Quote
I spent a decade in Evangelical churches. I used to live in rural Wisconsin. I have seen rural, white America drift away from the mainstream, starting in the late-80s. The following beliefs are mainstream in Trump America, and laughable in the rest of the country:

The Bible in its original form is literally (or substantially) true.
Common descent of humans and non-human animals is "just a theory."
Global Warming is a myth concocted by scientists who hate capitalism
Academia hates America and our universities are teaching white children to hate themselves
Sexual orientation is a choice and can be "fixed"
Sex before marriage is morally wrong (and yet they do it anyway)
The father should have final authority over the nuclear family
People are poor because they don't work hard enough
English should be the nation's official language

These kinds of cultural views are marginal among the American population at large coastal liberal bubbles, but majority or predominant in Trump country. Not only are they completely out of touch, they don't even know they're completely out of touch. Even the moderates and liberals living among them think they are a radical minority.

These all look like pretty standard and respectable conservative views. The one I would question the most is the global warming one. Anyway, just because someone has different views than you, it doesn't make them marginal.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
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« Reply #58 on: June 16, 2020, 01:35:31 PM »

Nobody knows, but if he really got 300,000 people to sign up for his Tulsa rally it's gargantuan. This weekend, thousands of people lined the piers of San Diego to celebrate his 74th birthday. The support out there for him is massive. But we've created so many echo chambers on the left that we don't understand why he is so popular.

Some liberals across the nation sign up for his rallies with no intention of going just to keep the seats empty.

And in any case rally size doesn't mean anything in terms of electoral results. Just ask Democratic nominee Bernie Sanders.

He has a cult base, sure, we know that. But there are no signs he's expanded it or that it will be enough for him.

Bernie's largest rally was around 25,000 IIRC. 300,000 is out of this world level.

There’s an enormous difference between entering your name on a website and actually attending a rally, Beet. I know at least some of those 300,000 are liberals screwing with the Trump campaign and many of the rest may have no intent of attending.

Good god it's a million now. Even if half a million liberals were just entering their names into his website to screw with him this is shaping up to be the biggest political rally in national history, if not world history. Trump's popularity is messianic. We need more Trump supporters here because most people here don't understand him or his people.

This is beyond weak, Beet. You need to up your concern-trolling game. You're better than this.

Trump's support has become so rural, so white, and so segregated from the rest of American society, their entire conception of the political mainstream is ridiculously skewed. They have their own religion (non-denominational "Bible churches"), their own news network, their own sports, their own music, and their own movies. They cover vast swaths of rural America, so you can drive literally for days and not leave Trump Country. Naturally they think they're the mainstream, when really they are the sad reactionaries getting left behind.

If Biden wins, it will be a complete shock to these people. They have no idea how most of this country thinks.

Concern trolling? How is it concern trolling when Trump has already won the last election and is the POTUS? When he was first elected I remember a lot of people saying he wouldn't last until the midterms. Then Mueller was going to get him. It hasn't been him or his supporters who turned out wrong, it has been his critics. In 2016 I was one of the only posters here who said he would win.

Next it'll be, "Stop concern trolling Beet. The Reagan Revolution isn't going to damage the labor movement or the middle class. We here in West Germany find him detestable."

But what is the actual reality?

White people are the majority and in power (no matter who wins) and the electoral college favors rural areas over urban ones. The rural white Trump base is the mainstream, their conception of American society is American society because they are, and their religion is the American religion. Their news networks like OANN, sports, music, and movies are the hegemonic norm, and that's why you can drive for hundreds of miles and not leave it.

It's us, Atlas, The NY Times, NBC, who are out of the mainstream. It's we who are the reactionaries reacting to them. It's our job to understand them, and respect their reality. That's why we need more of them on here, and to give them a greater voice in our spaces. This is the absolute fact, and you can call me names, persecute me, or do whatever you want but no amount of lashing out can affect the truth.

Taking up more space doesn't make you the mainstream.

Let's put it this way: Trump won white men 62% to 31%. If only white men voted, Trump would have won by the biggest landslide in Presidential history. He won all white voters 57% to 37%. That would have been a bigger landslide than Reagan's re-election, and on par with Nixon in 1972. Take a look at the NYT precinct-level map of the 2016 election. There are vast stretches, even in blue states, where Hillary Clinton didn't even get 20% of the vote. A lot of stretches where she didn't even get 10%.

And yet Hillary Clinton won nearly three million more votes than Donald Trump nationally.

White men are literally 33 points to the right of the nation. Rural America is 60-some points to the right of the nation.

You can literally do this with any demographic. By the same standard Black women are 88 points to the left of the nation.

Black women don't think they are representative of the nation at large. Residents of Trump country do. Most people with viewpoints out of the mainstream aren't under the delusion their views are representative of the country. Except in Trump Country.

Quote
I spent a decade in Evangelical churches. I used to live in rural Wisconsin. I have seen rural, white America drift away from the mainstream, starting in the late-80s. The following beliefs are mainstream in Trump America, and laughable in the rest of the country:

The Bible in its original form is literally (or substantially) true.
Common descent of humans and non-human animals is "just a theory."
Global Warming is a myth concocted by scientists who hate capitalism
Academia hates America and our universities are teaching white children to hate themselves
Sexual orientation is a choice and can be "fixed"
Sex before marriage is morally wrong (and yet they do it anyway)
The father should have final authority over the nuclear family
People are poor because they don't work hard enough
English should be the nation's official language

These kinds of cultural views are marginal among the American population at large coastal liberal bubbles, but majority or predominant in Trump country. Not only are they completely out of touch, they don't even know they're completely out of touch. Even the moderates and liberals living among them think they are a radical minority.

These all look like pretty standard and respectable conservative views. The one I would question the most is the global warming one. Anyway, just because someone has different views than you, it doesn't make them marginal.

This is mainstream America:

70% of Americans want stricter gun laws.
https://www.cnn.com/2018/02/25/politics/cnn-poll-gun-control-support-climbs/index.html

61% of Americans think abortion should be legal in all or most cases.
https://www.pewforum.org/fact-sheet/public-opinion-on-abortion/

2/3 of Americans think the government is doing too little to combat climate change
https://www.pewresearch.org/science/2019/11/25/u-s-public-views-on-climate-and-energy/

2/3 of Americans favor a $15 minimum wage.
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2019/07/30/two-thirds-of-americans-favor-raising-federal-minimum-wage-to-15-an-hour/

3/4 of Americans think the government should do more to ensure universal medical coverage.
https://www.kff.org/slideshow/public-opinion-on-single-payer-national-health-plans-and-expanding-access-to-medicare-coverage/

2/3 of Americans say it is very or somewhat important to establish a way for most immigrants in the country illegally to remain here legally.
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2019/11/12/americans-immigration-policy-priorities-divisions-between-and-within-the-two-parties/

51% of Americans in a recent survey said they believed, flat out, that the President is a racist. Similar majorities to the ones above believe black people in America are not treated equally by the criminal justice system, and believe that police killings of unarmed black people are a result of systematic racism.

Democratic positions on almost all important policy points are the views of between 2/3 and 3/4 of the country. That other quarter to third, those who disagree, are pretty much the same people, and they spend very little time with people who don't think like they do. They occupy vastly more space, and are physically and socially isolated from the rest of the country.

Having lived in urban, suburban, and rural communities throughout my life, I can tell you what my experience is: people in urban America have a much better bead on what white rural America thinks than vice-versa.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
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« Reply #59 on: June 16, 2020, 01:43:28 PM »

Quote
The Bible in its original form is literally (or substantially) true.
Common descent of humans and non-human animals is "just a theory."
Global Warming is a myth concocted by scientists who hate capitalism
Academia hates America and our universities are teaching white children to hate themselves
Sexual orientation is a choice and can be "fixed"
Sex before marriage is morally wrong (and yet they do it anyway)
The father should have final authority over the nuclear family
People are poor because they don't work hard enough
English should be the nation's official language

These all look like pretty standard and respectable conservative views. The one I would question the most is the global warming one. Anyway, just because someone has different views than you, it doesn't make them marginal.

These views are baffling to most of the United States (and with a few exceptions, the developed world). If you think these are mainstream, you really don't understand this country.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #60 on: June 16, 2020, 02:19:06 PM »

Nobody knows, but if he really got 300,000 people to sign up for his Tulsa rally it's gargantuan. This weekend, thousands of people lined the piers of San Diego to celebrate his 74th birthday. The support out there for him is massive. But we've created so many echo chambers on the left that we don't understand why he is so popular.

Some liberals across the nation sign up for his rallies with no intention of going just to keep the seats empty.

And in any case rally size doesn't mean anything in terms of electoral results. Just ask Democratic nominee Bernie Sanders.

He has a cult base, sure, we know that. But there are no signs he's expanded it or that it will be enough for him.

Bernie's largest rally was around 25,000 IIRC. 300,000 is out of this world level.

There’s an enormous difference between entering your name on a website and actually attending a rally, Beet. I know at least some of those 300,000 are liberals screwing with the Trump campaign and many of the rest may have no intent of attending.

Good god it's a million now. Even if half a million liberals were just entering their names into his website to screw with him this is shaping up to be the biggest political rally in national history, if not world history. Trump's popularity is messianic. We need more Trump supporters here because most people here don't understand him or his people.

This is beyond weak, Beet. You need to up your concern-trolling game. You're better than this.

Trump's support has become so rural, so white, and so segregated from the rest of American society, their entire conception of the political mainstream is ridiculously skewed. They have their own religion (non-denominational "Bible churches"), their own news network, their own sports, their own music, and their own movies. They cover vast swaths of rural America, so you can drive literally for days and not leave Trump Country. Naturally they think they're the mainstream, when really they are the sad reactionaries getting left behind.

If Biden wins, it will be a complete shock to these people. They have no idea how most of this country thinks.

Concern trolling? How is it concern trolling when Trump has already won the last election and is the POTUS? When he was first elected I remember a lot of people saying he wouldn't last until the midterms. Then Mueller was going to get him. It hasn't been him or his supporters who turned out wrong, it has been his critics. In 2016 I was one of the only posters here who said he would win.

Next it'll be, "Stop concern trolling Beet. The Reagan Revolution isn't going to damage the labor movement or the middle class. We here in West Germany find him detestable."

But what is the actual reality?

White people are the majority and in power (no matter who wins) and the electoral college favors rural areas over urban ones. The rural white Trump base is the mainstream, their conception of American society is American society because they are, and their religion is the American religion. Their news networks like OANN, sports, music, and movies are the hegemonic norm, and that's why you can drive for hundreds of miles and not leave it.

It's us, Atlas, The NY Times, NBC, who are out of the mainstream. It's we who are the reactionaries reacting to them. It's our job to understand them, and respect their reality. That's why we need more of them on here, and to give them a greater voice in our spaces. This is the absolute fact, and you can call me names, persecute me, or do whatever you want but no amount of lashing out can affect the truth.

Taking up more space doesn't make you the mainstream.

Let's put it this way: Trump won white men 62% to 31%. If only white men voted, Trump would have won by the biggest landslide in Presidential history. He won all white voters 57% to 37%. That would have been a bigger landslide than Reagan's re-election, and on par with Nixon in 1972. Take a look at the NYT precinct-level map of the 2016 election. There are vast stretches, even in blue states, where Hillary Clinton didn't even get 20% of the vote. A lot of stretches where she didn't even get 10%.

And yet Hillary Clinton won nearly three million more votes than Donald Trump nationally.

White men are literally 33 points to the right of the nation. Rural America is 60-some points to the right of the nation.

You can literally do this with any demographic. By the same standard Black women are 88 points to the left of the nation.

Quote
I spent a decade in Evangelical churches. I used to live in rural Wisconsin. I have seen rural, white America drift away from the mainstream, starting in the late-80s. The following beliefs are mainstream in Trump America, and laughable in the rest of the country:

The Bible in its original form is literally (or substantially) true.
Common descent of humans and non-human animals is "just a theory."
Global Warming is a myth concocted by scientists who hate capitalism
Academia hates America and our universities are teaching white children to hate themselves
Sexual orientation is a choice and can be "fixed"
Sex before marriage is morally wrong (and yet they do it anyway)
The father should have final authority over the nuclear family
People are poor because they don't work hard enough
English should be the nation's official language

These kinds of cultural views are marginal among the American population at large coastal liberal bubbles, but majority or predominant in Trump country. Not only are they completely out of touch, they don't even know they're completely out of touch. Even the moderates and liberals living among them think they are a radical minority.

These all look like pretty standard and respectable conservative views. The one I would question the most is the global warming one. Anyway, just because someone has different views than you, it doesn't make them marginal.

Bigotry is not a difference of opinion.
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Yoda
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« Reply #61 on: June 16, 2020, 02:39:49 PM »

Nobody knows, but if he really got 300,000 people to sign up for his Tulsa rally it's gargantuan. This weekend, thousands of people lined the piers of San Diego to celebrate his 74th birthday. The support out there for him is massive. But we've created so many echo chambers on the left that we don't understand why he is so popular.

Some liberals across the nation sign up for his rallies with no intention of going just to keep the seats empty.

And in any case rally size doesn't mean anything in terms of electoral results. Just ask Democratic nominee Bernie Sanders.

He has a cult base, sure, we know that. But there are no signs he's expanded it or that it will be enough for him.

Bernie's largest rally was around 25,000 IIRC. 300,000 is out of this world level.

There’s an enormous difference between entering your name on a website and actually attending a rally, Beet. I know at least some of those 300,000 are liberals screwing with the Trump campaign and many of the rest may have no intent of attending.

Good god it's a million now. Even if half a million liberals were just entering their names into his website to screw with him this is shaping up to be the biggest political rally in national history, if not world history. Trump's popularity is messianic. We need more Trump supporters here because most people here don't understand him or his people.

You do understand that the arena only holds 19,000, right?

You do understand that a 38% approval rating is not indicative of being popular, right?
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Yoda
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« Reply #62 on: June 16, 2020, 02:49:30 PM »

Nobody knows, but if he really got 300,000 people to sign up for his Tulsa rally it's gargantuan. This weekend, thousands of people lined the piers of San Diego to celebrate his 74th birthday. The support out there for him is massive. But we've created so many echo chambers on the left that we don't understand why he is so popular.

Some liberals across the nation sign up for his rallies with no intention of going just to keep the seats empty.

And in any case rally size doesn't mean anything in terms of electoral results. Just ask Democratic nominee Bernie Sanders.

He has a cult base, sure, we know that. But there are no signs he's expanded it or that it will be enough for him.

Bernie's largest rally was around 25,000 IIRC. 300,000 is out of this world level.

There’s an enormous difference between entering your name on a website and actually attending a rally, Beet. I know at least some of those 300,000 are liberals screwing with the Trump campaign and many of the rest may have no intent of attending.

Good god it's a million now. Even if half a million liberals were just entering their names into his website to screw with him this is shaping up to be the biggest political rally in national history, if not world history. Trump's popularity is messianic. We need more Trump supporters here because most people here don't understand him or his people.

This is beyond weak, Beet. You need to up your concern-trolling game. You're better than this.

Trump's support has become so rural, so white, and so segregated from the rest of American society, their entire conception of the political mainstream is ridiculously skewed. They have their own religion (non-denominational "Bible churches"), their own news network, their own sports, their own music, and their own movies. They cover vast swaths of rural America, so you can drive literally for days and not leave Trump Country. Naturally they think they're the mainstream, when really they are the sad reactionaries getting left behind.

If Biden wins, it will be a complete shock to these people. They have no idea how most of this country thinks.

Concern trolling? How is it concern trolling when Trump has already won the last election and is the POTUS? When he was first elected I remember a lot of people saying he wouldn't last until the midterms. Then Mueller was going to get him. It hasn't been him or his supporters who turned out wrong, it has been his critics. In 2016 I was one of the only posters here who said he would win.

Next it'll be, "Stop concern trolling Beet. The Reagan Revolution isn't going to damage the labor movement or the middle class. We here in West Germany find him detestable."

But what is the actual reality?

White people are the majority and in power (no matter who wins) and the electoral college favors rural areas over urban ones. The rural white Trump base is the mainstream, their conception of American society is American society because they are, and their religion is the American religion. Their news networks like OANN, sports, music, and movies are the hegemonic norm, and that's why you can drive for hundreds of miles and not leave it.

It's us, Atlas, The NY Times, NBC, who are out of the mainstream. It's we who are the reactionaries reacting to them. It's our job to understand them, and respect their reality. That's why we need more of them on here, and to give them a greater voice in our spaces. This is the absolute fact, and you can call me names, persecute me, or do whatever you want but no amount of lashing out can affect the truth.

This is quite the sad, delusional, pathetic read.

Not sure I've ever seen anyone in person or online who has fallen so deeply into a cult mentality before.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
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« Reply #63 on: June 16, 2020, 02:52:54 PM »

Nobody knows, but if he really got 300,000 people to sign up for his Tulsa rally it's gargantuan. This weekend, thousands of people lined the piers of San Diego to celebrate his 74th birthday. The support out there for him is massive. But we've created so many echo chambers on the left that we don't understand why he is so popular.

Some liberals across the nation sign up for his rallies with no intention of going just to keep the seats empty.

And in any case rally size doesn't mean anything in terms of electoral results. Just ask Democratic nominee Bernie Sanders.

He has a cult base, sure, we know that. But there are no signs he's expanded it or that it will be enough for him.

Bernie's largest rally was around 25,000 IIRC. 300,000 is out of this world level.

There’s an enormous difference between entering your name on a website and actually attending a rally, Beet. I know at least some of those 300,000 are liberals screwing with the Trump campaign and many of the rest may have no intent of attending.

Good god it's a million now. Even if half a million liberals were just entering their names into his website to screw with him this is shaping up to be the biggest political rally in national history, if not world history. Trump's popularity is messianic. We need more Trump supporters here because most people here don't understand him or his people.

You do understand that the arena only holds 19,000, right?

You do understand that a 38% approval rating is not indicative of being popular, right?

Beet is trolling, but some of his talking points are worth a rebuttal, lest casual viewers think these ideas go unchallenged.
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YE
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« Reply #64 on: June 16, 2020, 03:06:35 PM »

Do I need to lock this thread for trolling?
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Saint Milei
DeadPrez
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« Reply #65 on: June 16, 2020, 03:09:46 PM »


this post will age very well when you guys lose tbh.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
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« Reply #66 on: June 16, 2020, 03:13:05 PM »

Do I need to lock this thread for trolling?

I said my bit. I'm done.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #67 on: June 16, 2020, 03:14:16 PM »

Just going to say that there is a need to project confidence regardless of the actual realities on the ground. It is one of the general rules of politics.
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S019
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« Reply #68 on: June 16, 2020, 03:15:07 PM »


Yeah, sure, Trump's approval rating is the worst since February 2019, and Biden has consistently led in polls, sometimes by double digits. Republican strategists are sounding alarm that Trump will lose so badly that he'll drag down Republican senators with him, but sure. Also if Trump is inevitable, Republicans just shouldn't bother voting, since old, incompetent Joe will be lucky to get 10% of the vote, so Republicans should stay home, since their God Emperor is already guaranteed re-election.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #69 on: June 16, 2020, 03:21:30 PM »

City of Tulsa, OK, 2019 population estimate: 401,190.

Tulsa County, OK, 2019 population estimate: 651,552.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #70 on: June 16, 2020, 04:06:50 PM »

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Yoda
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« Reply #71 on: June 16, 2020, 05:12:56 PM »

Nobody knows, but if he really got 300,000 people to sign up for his Tulsa rally it's gargantuan. This weekend, thousands of people lined the piers of San Diego to celebrate his 74th birthday. The support out there for him is massive. But we've created so many echo chambers on the left that we don't understand why he is so popular.

Some liberals across the nation sign up for his rallies with no intention of going just to keep the seats empty.

And in any case rally size doesn't mean anything in terms of electoral results. Just ask Democratic nominee Bernie Sanders.

He has a cult base, sure, we know that. But there are no signs he's expanded it or that it will be enough for him.

Bernie's largest rally was around 25,000 IIRC. 300,000 is out of this world level.

There’s an enormous difference between entering your name on a website and actually attending a rally, Beet. I know at least some of those 300,000 are liberals screwing with the Trump campaign and many of the rest may have no intent of attending.

Good god it's a million now. Even if half a million liberals were just entering their names into his website to screw with him this is shaping up to be the biggest political rally in national history, if not world history. Trump's popularity is messianic. We need more Trump supporters here because most people here don't understand him or his people.

You do understand that the arena only holds 19,000, right?

You do understand that a 38% approval rating is not indicative of being popular, right?

Beet is trolling, but some of his talking points are worth a rebuttal, lest casual viewers think these ideas go unchallenged.

Gotta admit, had me fooled! I have two die-hard, racist, trump-loving brothers who sound almost this bad, and regurgitate a lot of the same tropes. "N-words are taking over the country, trump is the REAL America, he tells it like it is!" types. Pretty sad when the far right in this country is almost indistinguishable from satire at this point.
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Beet
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« Reply #72 on: June 16, 2020, 07:34:51 PM »

Nobody knows, but if he really got 300,000 people to sign up for his Tulsa rally it's gargantuan. This weekend, thousands of people lined the piers of San Diego to celebrate his 74th birthday. The support out there for him is massive. But we've created so many echo chambers on the left that we don't understand why he is so popular.

Some liberals across the nation sign up for his rallies with no intention of going just to keep the seats empty.

And in any case rally size doesn't mean anything in terms of electoral results. Just ask Democratic nominee Bernie Sanders.

He has a cult base, sure, we know that. But there are no signs he's expanded it or that it will be enough for him.

Bernie's largest rally was around 25,000 IIRC. 300,000 is out of this world level.

There’s an enormous difference between entering your name on a website and actually attending a rally, Beet. I know at least some of those 300,000 are liberals screwing with the Trump campaign and many of the rest may have no intent of attending.

Good god it's a million now. Even if half a million liberals were just entering their names into his website to screw with him this is shaping up to be the biggest political rally in national history, if not world history. Trump's popularity is messianic. We need more Trump supporters here because most people here don't understand him or his people.

You do understand that the arena only holds 19,000, right?

You do understand that a 38% approval rating is not indicative of being popular, right?

Beet is trolling, but some of his talking points are worth a rebuttal, lest casual viewers think these ideas go unchallenged.

Gotta admit, had me fooled! I have two die-hard, racist, trump-loving brothers who sound almost this bad, and regurgitate a lot of the same tropes. "N-words are taking over the country, trump is the REAL America, he tells it like it is!" types. Pretty sad when the far right in this country is almost indistinguishable from satire at this point.

I'm not trolling. I just get accused of that whenever I say something that deviates from the popular line here.

If you only look at polls, you would see in the United States a liberal country where 90% of people support gun background checks, Medicare for All and a wealth tax are popular, two thirds favor a living wage, immigrants are welcomed, Hillary Clinton is president, and a quarter of Republicans don't want Trump. You would also be looking at a complete and utter mirage, a delusional fantasy that does more harm than no view at all.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
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« Reply #73 on: June 16, 2020, 07:55:40 PM »

It's even documented what's happening with the Tulsa rally lol: https://www.tulsaworld.com/news/local/tiktok-users-are-reportedly-reserving-tickets-for-trumps-tulsa-rally-theyll-never-use/article_09d6037a-978a-5d7e-a591-e89a1f65fc56.html
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Pulaski
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« Reply #74 on: June 16, 2020, 08:41:55 PM »

Honestly, is the TikTok thing even significant? Surely when organisers realise that lots of people who are first on the list aren't showing up, they'll release more tickets to people lower down on the list, or even allow walk-ins? Surely they'd delay the rally, even for hours, to get a full house.
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