In my opinion, one of the most likely seats to flip for the republicans this year. Cox didn't break 40% in the primary, and that was with him being an incumbent and a competitive democratic primary going on at the same time, and now Cox is embroiled in a scandal due to his unpaid taxes.
I rate this race Likely R, Valadao +6.
If primary results mattered
*CA-49 would've been the only '18 House flip in California.
*Catherine Baker & Janet Nguyen would've cruised to re-election.
*Democrats wouldn't have supermajorities in the Assembly/Senate.
*My current Congressman would've gotten crushed in 2012.
*I'd currently be represented by a Republican Assemblyman.
California is one of the worst states to prognosticate based on primary results
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