Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1

[Aurelio21]

…  and second most important issue : DJ Trump himself. 56 % wong direction, 2/3 of Dems are for impeachment. All those who are posting "Send reinforcements"-tweets: Might you think that this could have caused something else?

[Aurelio21]

KY6: Nicholas County(100%): Trump +41 / Barr (GOP): +27 => -14 swing , TurnOut: -8%
Robertson County(100%):   Trump +53 / Barr(GOP) : +28 => -25 swing, TurnOut: -20%
In both cases, GOP did not turn out their previous numbers / there are al lot of Trump / McGrath voters

[Aurelio21]

Just relax. If Mrs Sinema wins this, Nelson and Espy, too, it will be anybodies guess what's happening next. Maybe Donald has no love for McConnell anymore, and then tries to fire Mike Pence?

[Aurelio21]

Just relax. If Mrs Sinema wins this, Nelson and Espy, too, it will be anybodies guess what's happening next. Maybe Donald has no love for McConnell anymore, and then tries to fire Mike Pence?

Espy isn't winning, lol.

About Florida: Mr Rubio is whining about some ballots which were "found". He does not give any figures, only alludes that this happened before on a "smaller scale of only 9000 votes".
  
Of course Mr Espy will lose with a probability of 99.5 %. Yet there some Republicans which critizied the MS Governor for nominating her.
;-) After Roy Moore, I can easily imagine that the GOP nominated another "trojan horse". ;-)  Just making fun of "high-quality" GOP candidates.

[Aurelio21]

Anybody, who thought it would end with FakeNews: Now, simply declaring himself election winner suffices. Ask Mr Kemp and Mr Scott how this is done.

If this is not enough, just mention "Hillary Clinton" in any sentence. This justifies anything and deflects from your own misdeeds ;-)

[Aurelio21]

Obviously, anybody who feels affiliated with the Trump party can fabricate "alternative facts" as well:

Margin Scott-Nelson NOW(2018/11/08 10:50 pm EST): 15100 on FEW(floridaelectionwatch)

-2000 pending from Broward County: New margin About 13000

-2000 from 20k oversea VBM breaking 55:45 Nelson

-16000 from 23k undervotes from Broward which are no undervotes

= A possible Victory for Nelson with a margin of 5000 votes

If there would be no chance of these votes flipping the race, why does Gov. Scott sue the electoral officers of Broward County? This only makes sense if he tries to stop the 0.5 automatic recount. In the statement, he gives misleading statements about Hillary Clinton's lawyer representing Sen. Nelson.

Sorry, dear apologists of Gov. Scott: In the last 2 years we all witnessed these deflectory techniques. Everytime Kellyanne Conway seems to be cornered, she tries to deflect on "Crooked Hillary" and "Maxine Waters". This is getting old.

[Aurelio21]

Obviously, anybody who feels affiliated with the Trump party can fabricate "alternative facts" as well:

Margin Scott-Nelson NOW(2018/11/08 10:50 pm EST): 15100 on FEW(floridaelectionwatch)

-2000 pending from Broward County: New margin About 13000

-2000 from 20k oversea VBM breaking 55:45 Nelson

-16000 from 23k undervotes from Broward which are no undervotes

= A possible Victory for Nelson with a margin of 5000 votes

If there would be no chance of these votes flipping the race, why does Gov. Scott sue the electoral officers of Broward County? This only makes sense if he tries to stop the 0.5 automatic recount. In the statement, he gives misleading statements about Hillary Clinton's lawyer representing Sen. Nelson.

Sorry, dear apologists of Gov. Scott: In the last 2 years we all witnessed these deflectory techniques. Everytime Kellyanne Conway seems to be cornered, she tries to deflect on "Crooked Hillary" and "Maxine Waters". This is getting old.

lmao at a 5000 vote recount winning
Show me a way to get to 2k and then Nelson can win.

First of all, try something against your possible dyscalculasia.

All the information in this thread leads to a 15000-20000 = -5000 Scott thus +5000 Nelson estimate.

[Aurelio21]

Seriously, they did the math. There are 23K votes that may have been miscounted, ones that can only be counted in a hand by hand recount. There is clearly a path, it just needs this to be a machine error, and not a purposeful one(it is more likely a machine error, as absentees and mail in ballots had the same problem).

Thanks for assisting. There are 3 possible sources from which Sen Nelson still can pull this out:

20k VBM , the missing latest report of Broward county and the 23k undervotes.

The press conference of Gov.Scott follows the same path which bully Trump uses to intimidate people. I've seen these shameless accusation tatics over and over again.

Seriously to all Trump apologists: Is there anything why he MUST mention Hillary Clinton's association with a lawyer in this totally unrelated topic? He accuses the Broward county election official with alledged fraud without presenting any proof.
Just like Brian Kemp who declared himself victor before the last votes have been counted

Most likely, one of the votung machines has malfunctioned thus there must be a recount as the result is under the 0.5% threshold. Gov. Scott says that there should be no recount as the lawyer is connected to HRC. This is totally bananas and on Conway-level. He should have mentioned Maxine Waters to solidify his totally convinving arguments ;-)

[Aurelio21]

[…]


Which is much closer. Personally, I do sincerely hope that the final result ends up being Nelson winning by 537 votes. It would be epic karmic justice.

If all your numbers are about correct, then we would be pretty close to that, so I hope that is what happens.

The VBM is mentioned in a post somewhat earlier. The final Broward County no is mentioned/linked by Steve Schale. I do not know if these are totally correct, yet this is a plausible way to explain the murky press conference of Gov. Scott.

Honestly, if you had invested 30 M$ into this, what would you have done? I would even put Hillary, Obama's birth certificate, George Soros and Nancy Pelosi as a reasoning/deflectoral argument to make "The Base" forget about some obscure recount law which costs me the election ;-)

[Aurelio21]

I don't care about Florida at this point. Can someone say something about AZ?

Sorry, Kirsten Sinema is winning, as the VBM is skewing democratic. McSally is sueing their own Republican SoS Michelle Reagan trying to stop her counting. But this does not work, she did not have a press conference at which she blames Hillary Clinton, George Soros, the Caravan (which does not exist anymore as Fox News has failed to deliver the HoR to Trump) or Nancy Pelosi.