NV-TargetPoint Consulting/Washington Free Beacon: Sanders & Clinton tied at 45%

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Sexy poll!

Told ya.

EDIT: Sample size is pushing 1,300.  Dayum!  Loving that 25-9 Nevada focus group thrashing from last night even more.

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Here is the poll.

It does seem that Hillary does not have much of an Hispanic firewall. So that leaves the black firewall for her, which will be tested in SC. She might end up being in serious trouble in CA, although I suspect she will do well with the Asian vote, who might not be so keen on Bernie's left wing economics.

The poll chief is a former Republican Party official

"In 2002, Michael was the executive director of the Michigan Republican Party. During his tenure, Republicans maintained a majority in the State Senate, increased their majority in the State House, retained the Secretary of State’s office, preserved a conservative majority on the Supreme Court, and, for the first time in forty years, Michigan voters elected a Republican Attorney General.

Prior to his work at the Michigan Republican Party, Michael worked as the director of former Michigan Lieutenant Governor Dick Posthumus’s political action committee. He also served in a number of roles in the Michigan Legislature including chief of staff to the Chairman of Technology and Energy Committee and as finance director of the Senate Republican Campaign Committee. Michael’s work on Presidential campaigns began in 1996 as a field representative for the Dole-Kemp campaign.” http://www.targetpointconsulting.com/pages/executive_team

Sounds like he has vast experience in the politicsl realm.

Great news!

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Not sure if I read right, but I'm fairly certain NV is just a viability caucus and that no delegates are actually allocated based on the results.

The delegates in NV would be secondary to the momentum Bernie could get from it going into the next round of primaries. And even if he got fewer delegates despite a win, it would just fuel the narrative that the DWS controlled party establishment is trying to keep the progressive activists down and energize his base.

We are still very much in the momentum stage.  Anyone doing delegate math is foolish.  A Nevada win would spell good things for the Bern Man heading into Super Tuesday. 

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Nate Silver now says that Bernie will probably win Nevada.

"Probably" as in a 51% chance, but still.

Thank you for your heroism, Nate... but we need some data.