Safe D. Focus on AZ-09 where the Democrats are running 'progressives'.
Or even in AZ-01 where Kirkpatrick is favored.
Eh I don't like that district at all for the GOP. AZ-9 on the other hand has shifted well over 1% towards the GOP in terms of registration ever since Colleen Mathis enacted that vicious gerrymander, and the opposition is of the Darcy Burner/Manan Trivedi/Dan Seals 'progressive' type.
AZ-09 even went for John Kerry. That district is at least lean Dem.
Of course. The GOPs best chance to win those types of districts, based on history, is to run against a 'progressive'.
The thing is, in these kinds of partially suburban, historically Republican, recently Democratic at the presidential level places the Democratic winning coalition consists of a lot of voters who're still ready to vote for the right kind of Republican and often still identify as Republicans, and a lot of left-on-the-current-issues-of-the-day, progressive types who vote in Democratic primaries.
