Will the Republicans ever win the popular vote again the forseeable future?
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  Will the Republicans ever win the popular vote again the forseeable future?
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Author Topic: Will the Republicans ever win the popular vote again the forseeable future?  (Read 543 times)
iceman
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« on: November 07, 2020, 01:48:20 PM »

They have already lost 7 out of 8 last elections.
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AGA
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2020, 01:49:53 PM »

I wouldn't rule it out, especially if the GOP makes inroads with California hispanics.
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iceman
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« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2020, 01:52:20 PM »

I wouldn't rule it out, especially if the GOP makes inroads with California hispanics.

Based on their current party trajectory. What makes us think that the GOP would make inroads with hispanics?
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2020, 01:52:24 PM »

Not until 2032 at the earliest
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AGA
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: November 07, 2020, 01:52:50 PM »

I wouldn't rule it out, especially if the GOP makes inroads with California hispanics.

Based on their current party trajectory. What makes us think that the GOP would make inroads with hispanics?

Uhhh...the election that just happened.
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iceman
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« Reply #5 on: November 07, 2020, 01:58:02 PM »

I wouldn't rule it out, especially if the GOP makes inroads with California hispanics.

Based on their current party trajectory. What makes us think that the GOP would make inroads with hispanics?

Uhhh...the election that just happened.

Seems like only a ripple. Probably confined to Cuban-Americans in South FL>
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Tiger08
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« Reply #6 on: November 07, 2020, 02:00:13 PM »

I wouldn't rule it out, especially if the GOP makes inroads with California hispanics.

Based on their current party trajectory. What makes us think that the GOP would make inroads with hispanics?

Uhhh...the election that just happened.

Seems like only a ripple. Probably confined to Cuban-Americans in South FL>

Osceloa County (Central FL)? South Texas? Maybe Nevada? Maybe the Maricopa margins? Also if you look at the margins in some Hispanic precincts of Chicago and NYC, they trended R
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Roronoa D. Law
Patrick97
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« Reply #7 on: November 07, 2020, 02:09:15 PM »

I think we need to see a few more lection before saying Hispanics are trending Republican. Remember the Democrats thought the same thing not too long ago.

On the main topic, I want to say yes but I'm not sure.
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Buffalo Mayor Young Kim
LVScreenssuck
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« Reply #8 on: November 07, 2020, 02:12:36 PM »

I think we need to see a few more lection before saying Hispanics are trending Republican. Remember the Democrats thought the same thing not too long ago.

On the main topic, I want to say yes but I'm not sure.
Honestly, the ‘trend’ looks allot more like mean reversion. Remember Trump 2016 was running as an explicitly anti-Hispanic candidate and by 2020 wasn’t. I wouldn’t be shocked to find this is just Latinos reverting to pre-2016 norms.

Backing this up, it looks like right now most of the gains with the Hispanic community has been in South Florida and Texas, where Republicans have traditionally done comparatively well with them.
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