Weird that Obama is doing better in Florida than in Colorado.
Not really. Colorado has always been one of Romney's best pick-up opportunities. Because of the state's small size and, thus, low electoral value, and also because of the bogus beltway narrative about Hispanics and young people apparently taking over the state, people have wrongly assumed that Colorado would be a reach for Romney.
It never was, it isn't now, and it definitely won't be on Election Day. While I'm far from confident about Romney's chances nationally, people will be genuinely surprised that Colorado ends up with a PVI of R +3 or R+4 in November.
This isn't a "Beltway narrative", this is the truth. Just because you live in some desolate right-wing hellhole (either the praire or Colorado Springs) doesn't mean the real population growth in the metro areas is making the state more R-leaning. The Republican registration advantage is residual from the primary because it was competitive when Colorado voted and people registered. Remember, in all the Southwest states, there is an underestimation of the Hispanic vote. I wouldn't be surprised if Hispanics make up 14-15% of the electorate since in 2010 they made up 12%.
