Mississippi results thread
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Author Topic: Mississippi results thread  (Read 18533 times)
J. J.
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« Reply #125 on: March 11, 2008, 09:20:54 PM »

Ah, shouldn't Obama's margin be a bit better?

The night is still young, Jimmy John....

Okay Neutered Weasel.

I am actually holding Nibbler right now...whoops he just weaseled away...

It looks like so might Obama's big win.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #126 on: March 11, 2008, 09:21:57 PM »

57-41 with 60% in.... hard to see him cracking 60%

moral victory for clinton.
Only if March 4th counts as a moral victory for Obama...
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Flying Dog
Jtfdem
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« Reply #127 on: March 11, 2008, 09:22:44 PM »

Some rural black counties still not reporting.
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Alcon
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« Reply #128 on: March 11, 2008, 09:23:11 PM »

This win is not going to weasel away.

The remaining unreported counties tend to be black, but not exceptionally so - Obama will probably win them at a similar clip to what he has left, maybe a bit less.  Again, I don't know MS so hot.

Washington County, Mississippi, is the only majorly-populated county at 0% that I see.  It's also 2/3 black.
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exopolitician
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« Reply #129 on: March 11, 2008, 09:23:35 PM »

An 18pt loss is a victory for Clinton....I guess so?
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J. J.
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« Reply #130 on: March 11, 2008, 09:23:49 PM »

What is the delegate count out of MS?
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Flying Dog
Jtfdem
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« Reply #131 on: March 11, 2008, 09:24:33 PM »

What is the delegate count out of MS?

I heard 20-13 Obama.
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J. J.
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« Reply #132 on: March 11, 2008, 09:25:07 PM »

This win is not going to weasel away.

The remaining unreported counties tend to be black, but not exceptionally so - Obama will probably win them at a similar clip to what he has left, maybe a bit less.  Again, I don't know MS so hot.

Washington County, Mississippi, is the only majorly-populated county at 0% that I see.  It's also 2/3 black.

The big win might be going.
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Person Man
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« Reply #133 on: March 11, 2008, 09:25:49 PM »

This win is not going to weasel away.

The remaining unreported counties tend to be black, but not exceptionally so - Obama will probably win them at a similar clip to what he has left, maybe a bit less.  Again, I don't know MS so hot.

Washington County, Mississippi, is the only majorly-populated county at 0% that I see.  It's also 2/3 black.

leave Nibbler out of this....uh oh...hes under my chair.
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #134 on: March 11, 2008, 09:27:18 PM »

70 in
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J. J.
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« Reply #135 on: March 11, 2008, 09:28:02 PM »

Now, does Obama even win the month?
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Democratic Hawk
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« Reply #136 on: March 11, 2008, 09:28:10 PM »

Here's hoping he can slip three points now that Jackson is pretty much all in.

Phil confirms it Cheesy. There is definately a lot of lurv for Clinton among Republicans

Dave
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Person Man
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« Reply #137 on: March 11, 2008, 09:28:53 PM »

58-40
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #138 on: March 11, 2008, 09:29:05 PM »

Now, does Obama even win the month?

he won Texas and probably only lost March 4th by a handful of delegates, so I'd venture to say yes
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #139 on: March 11, 2008, 09:29:53 PM »

Map of Mississippi CD's is here. Clinton has no doubt won one, in the NE, and Obama won one.

If she wins Wicker's CD, then she will probably win Taylor's CD, which is less black.  Pickering's CD looks lost - it was probably too black anyway.

If so, then it will end up Obama +6. (I'm presuming Thompson's is 5-2)
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J. J.
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« Reply #140 on: March 11, 2008, 09:30:35 PM »

Now, does Obama even win the month?

he won Texas and probably only lost March 4th by a handful of delegates, so I'd venture to say yes

I'm not sure what TX net was, but MS was suppose to serve as a counterweight (with WY). 
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Meeker
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« Reply #141 on: March 11, 2008, 09:32:37 PM »

Congressional updates:

- Erik Fleming beat perennial candidate Shawn O'Hara for the right to lose to Thad Cochran

- In MS-01 on the Republican side, Southhaven Greg Davis was favored to win big but thus far is struggling. Former Tupelo Glenn McCullough is currently ahead with 41%, but most likely both will end up in a run-off. Regional ties are big so big swings may come as the remaining vote comes in. State Representative Steve Holland and local county official Travis Childers also are heading towards a run-off for the right to lose as the Democratic candidate

- In MS-03, again on the Republican side State Senator Charlie Ross, local county GOP chair Gregg Harper and wealthy businessman David Landrum are in a close three-way battle for the two run-off slots, currently the percentages are 33-29-26 respectively with 74% of the vote in. Looks like Joel Gill won the Democratic nod, whoever the hell that is

- Bennie Thompson easily dispatched a primary challenger 84% to 16%
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Flying Dog
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« Reply #142 on: March 11, 2008, 09:33:05 PM »

Texas was +3 or +4 overall for Obama.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #143 on: March 11, 2008, 09:33:41 PM »

Now, does Obama even win the month?

he won Texas and probably only lost March 4th by a handful of delegates, so I'd venture to say yes

I'm not sure what TX net was, but MS was suppose to serve as a counterweight (with WY). 

Erc has TX +3 Obama.  I don't see why he'd need to 'counterweight' a victory.

according to Erc's total, Obama entered tonight down 6 in March, which he should net in Mississippi.  so it'll be a draw.  and draw = Obama win at this point.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #144 on: March 11, 2008, 09:35:59 PM »

Congressional updates:

- Erik Fleming beat perennial candidate Shawn O'Hara for the right to lose to Thad Cochran



Wow, I just realized MS will have two U.S. Senate races this November. When was the last time this happened? CA in 1992?
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Meeker
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« Reply #145 on: March 11, 2008, 09:36:34 PM »

Congressional updates:

- Erik Fleming beat perennial candidate Shawn O'Hara for the right to lose to Thad Cochran



Wow, I just realized MS will have two U.S. Senate races this November. When was the last time this happened? CA in 1992?

Wyoming will also have two Senate races.

Tennessee had two in 1994
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J. J.
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« Reply #146 on: March 11, 2008, 09:37:55 PM »

Now, does Obama even win the month?

he won Texas and probably only lost March 4th by a handful of delegates, so I'd venture to say yes

I'm not sure what TX net was, but MS was suppose to serve as a counterweight (with WY). 

Erc has TX +3 Obama.  I don't see why he'd need to 'counterweight' a victory.

according to Erc's total, Obama entered tonight down 6 in March, which he should net in Mississippi.  so it'll be a draw.  and draw = Obama win at this point.

There was Ohio; I was referring to March 4.  A draw is not a win; Obama needs to shut the race down; he's failed and PA is coming up.  It's going to be a long six weeks.
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Torie
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« Reply #147 on: March 11, 2008, 09:38:01 PM »
« Edited: March 11, 2008, 09:40:57 PM by Torie »

Obama has probably won all 4 CD's but CD-1 is tight. The McCain drain hurt Clinton substantially.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #148 on: March 11, 2008, 09:40:03 PM »


Wyoming will also have two Senate races.

Tennessee had two in 1994

Oh, that's right. Thanks.
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Flying Dog
Jtfdem
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« Reply #149 on: March 11, 2008, 09:40:25 PM »

39% Clinton! You can do it!!
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