Hmm. I think the '08 map will look quite a bit different than in 2000 and 2004. I agree with some others here that MO is currently "Lean Republican" (the April Bush approval was at 38% in that state, which is high IMO).
OR, MN, PA, MI should be "Lean Democrat" right now. (~5% in favor)
I also tend to say that IA, NM and NH are "Slightly Democrat" (2-5%)
This leaves NV, CO and OH as the main battlegrounds for 2008. (+/-2%)
The rest, AR, WV, VA, NC and FL are also "Lean Republican". (~5%)
So how will '08 be "quite different" than '04? You have all the competitive states going the same way they went three years ago, with a slight bump for the Dems.
And ? Iīm not a fortune teller. Do you expect me to make Nebraska competetive ?
I canīt change the physics of Presidential Elections. For me it is "quite different" if OH, NV and CO flip at the same time to the Dems in '08. But thatīs all worth nothing if thereīs some kind of landslide (which I do not assume) and it certainly depends on the candidates.