AZ-OH Predictive (D Primary): Garcia +15

[Pollster]

Garcia 40
Farley 25
Fryer 7
Undecided 28

46 say they’ve already mailed in their ballot
34 plan to vote early
19 will vote on primary day

Education and healthcare the top issues.

IVR only, meaning only landlines called - not the massive red flag that everyone thinks it is, but still a red flag nonetheless.

[Devout Centrist]

On the ground energy suggests that Garcia has momentum. He performed very well in the last debate.

In any case, Farley has a uphill climb ahead of him.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Garcia will be tough to beat in primary and general, even against Ducey

[Pollster]

Garcia will be tough to beat in primary and general, even against Ducey

Very much agreed - I did some work in Arizona during the 2016 cycle, he was vulnerable then and I doubt his prospects have improved in the recent political climate.