SUSA-GA: Trump beats Clinton

[Skye]

Trump 46
Clinton 37

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http://www.11alive.com/story/news/politics/2015/11/02/exclusive-poll-georgia-wants-trump-president/74819370/

[Higgs]

No surprise

[Bigby]

Not a big surprise, yeah.

[Maxwell]

President-elect Trump will deliver a thrashing to the establishment on November, which is why the Republican leadership desperately does not want him to win. They want a patsy like John Ellis or Marco Amnesty to lead their party to certain defeat.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It was only a PPP pol that showed that, even NC was considered one too. But, Clinton has enough states to take on in Iowa , perhaps OH.

[Extrabase500]

No Dem is going to come within 10% of Georgia. Thats pretty obvious...

[Flake]

No Dem is going to come within 10% of Georgia. Thats pretty obvious...

Ah, but President Obama lost Georgia by 5% and 8% in 2008 and 2012, respectfully. Back in 2014, Nunn and Carter both lost by ~8%, even in the national Republican landslide. I don't believe that any Democrat will lose by 10%

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

The demographics aren't there to ensure a win, but they are there to ensure 45%-46%, which means a 6%-9% Trump victory when you factor in third parties.

[pbrower2a]

Third parties? Not likely to amount to much.

[Adam Griffin]

Any poll that doesn't show a near dead-even race in Georgia at this point is garbage. Why? Polls start off with candidates running neck and neck due to the polarity of the state (with a slight R advantage, usually) until the "independents" in the final two weeks "make up their minds" and break heavily - usually 3/1 - to the Republican.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Any poll that doesn't show a near dead-even race in Georgia at this point is garbage. Why? Polls start off with candidates running neck and neck due to the polarity of the state (with a slight R advantage, usually) until the "independents" in the final two weeks "make up their minds" and break heavily - usually 3/1 - to the Republican.

I dunno, I think Trump is likely to outperform with independents everywhere and lock them up pretty early. His problem is getting the GOP out for him.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Any poll that doesn't show a near dead-even race in Georgia at this point is garbage. Why? Polls start off with candidates running neck and neck due to the polarity of the state (with a slight R advantage, usually) until the "independents" in the final two weeks "make up their minds" and break heavily - usually 3/1 - to the Republican.

Trajectory of the 2014 Senate Race /=/ trajectory of a normal race in GA.

[Flake]

Any poll that doesn't show a near dead-even race in Georgia at this point is garbage. Why? Polls start off with candidates running neck and neck due to the polarity of the state (with a slight R advantage, usually) until the "independents" in the final two weeks "make up their minds" and break heavily - usually 3/1 - to the Republican.

Trajectory of the 2014 Senate Race /=/ trajectory of a normal race in GA.

But that is the trajectory of a normal race in Georgia, isn't it?

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Any poll that doesn't show a near dead-even race in Georgia at this point is garbage. Why? Polls start off with candidates running neck and neck due to the polarity of the state (with a slight R advantage, usually) until the "independents" in the final two weeks "make up their minds" and break heavily - usually 3/1 - to the Republican.

Trajectory of the 2014 Senate Race /=/ trajectory of a normal race in GA.

But that is the trajectory of a normal race in Georgia, isn't it?

SUSA had Obama 6 points behind Gingrich and 7 points behind Romney in Dec. 2011. Mason Dixon had Obama much further behind at the same time.
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=9f7c5d5d-4d53-4675-af4b-65290e7797d2
http://jacksonville.com/news/florida/2011-12-18/story/georgia-republicans-prefer-newt-gingrich-poll-shows