2023 Thailand general election - May 14th (user search)
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  2023 Thailand general election - May 14th (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2023 Thailand general election - May 14th  (Read 10801 times)
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

« on: May 14, 2023, 05:05:13 AM »

Exit poll is a completely different picture for MF than all the polling?
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

« Reply #1 on: May 14, 2023, 05:12:47 AM »

Exit poll is a completely different picture for MF than all the polling?

If you are talking about that NIDA poll that has

PT 164-172
MFP 80-88

a) I am not sure if this is FPTP seat (which would sort of make sense) or overall seats (which would mean pro-military overperformance)
b) this is their last  pre-election survey and not an exit poll
I'm talking about the exit poll that had PT at 226, and MF at only 23 and in 6th place
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

« Reply #2 on: May 14, 2023, 05:14:59 AM »

Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

« Reply #3 on: May 14, 2023, 05:52:18 AM »

Yeah, only 3 seats here, but interestingly historically conservative, Democratic voting Phuket is looking like it might go completely the opposite direction
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

« Reply #4 on: May 14, 2023, 06:18:08 AM »

Crazy that a province that hasn't had an MP from a non-conservative party in nearly 40 years might be swept by MF this time.
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

« Reply #5 on: May 14, 2023, 08:15:06 AM »

Vote split really hurting PT/MF in the eastern provinces
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

« Reply #6 on: May 15, 2023, 01:03:11 AM »

Coup incoming within a year, MF to form government with PT
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

« Reply #7 on: May 16, 2023, 08:27:57 PM »

Bhumjaithai says it will respect the people's mandate

https://www.nationthailand.com/thailand/politics/40027707
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

« Reply #8 on: January 24, 2024, 02:44:13 AM »

Pita Limjaroenrat has been found not guilty, and is eligible to be an MP

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