IN-SEN: Brains or Braun?

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

IN-5 is a very good data point for Donnelly.  It's the only district where Clinton 2016 improved on Obama 2012 performance; and it's looking even better for Donnelly this time around.

Remembering the 2016 results, it seems likely those new Donnelly votes are coming from Hamilton County, which has long been a Republican bastion (the last Democrat to carry the county was Woodrow Wilson in 1912 against a divided GOP field), but where the local Democratic party has been noticeably gaining ground in the last few elections. Significantly, said growth is reflected pretty well down ballot: it really does seem that the county is becoming more Democratic (though the GOP is still the heavy favorite), as opposed to a one-time swing against Trump.

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

To anyone reading this who lives in Indiana - vote Mike Braun and straight Republican downballot!

#SendTrumpReinforcements
#BraunWillFireSleepingJoe

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wsHbHR3Os6U

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

State Senator Mike Delph currently trailing his Democratic challenger 43–57% in IN-S29, with 56% of the vote in.

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

This goes to show that running as Republican-lite nowadays turns off progressive base voters (which includes working-class voters who the Democrats used to dominate) while doing little to attract so-called moderate Republicans. It was mostly these type of candidates who lost downballot under the Obama administration. While I would have preferred a Donnelly win to a Braun win, I hope this serves as a lesson for the Democratic Party to appeal to working class voters more in the future.

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

State Senator Mike Delph currently trailing his Democratic challenger 43–57% in IN-S29, with 56% of the vote in.

Silver lining for IN Dems tonight: according to NYT, J.D. Ford wins in IN-S29, 53–47% over Delph —almost exactly the inverse of the 2014 margin.