IN-SEN: Brains or Braun?
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  IN-SEN: Brains or Braun? 		« previous next »
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Author Topic: IN-SEN: Brains or Braun?  (Read 68836 times)
Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #525 on: November 06, 2018, 01:43:55 AM »
Does he actually say his name "brawn"? I've only ever seen the name "Mike Braun" in writing, and I don't particularly feel like watching one of his ads to hear him say it himself.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #526 on: November 06, 2018, 09:08:45 AM »
Preliminary reports from Hamilton County, the wealthiest and most-educated county in the state:

"Hamilton County early voting: 32,844.  Mailed-in absentee ballots: 9,777.  Over 23,000 voted in-person already today."

Assuming the GOP is in for a burb-stompin' tonight, this is welcome news for Joe Donnelly, especially given Hamilton swung leftward in 2016.
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #527 on: November 06, 2018, 09:39:23 AM »
Quote from: libertpaulian on November 06, 2018, 09:08:45 AM
Preliminary reports from Hamilton County, the wealthiest and most-educated county in the state:

"Hamilton County early voting: 32,844.  Mailed-in absentee ballots: 9,777.  Over 23,000 voted in-person already today."

Assuming the GOP is in for a burb-stompin' tonight, this is welcome news for Joe Donnelly, especially given Hamilton swung leftward in 2016.

Eh Trump still won it by 20, so did Holcomb when he won by only 5 percent
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #528 on: November 06, 2018, 09:50:20 AM »
Quote from: Pandaguineapig on November 06, 2018, 09:39:23 AM
Quote from: libertpaulian on November 06, 2018, 09:08:45 AM
Preliminary reports from Hamilton County, the wealthiest and most-educated county in the state:

"Hamilton County early voting: 32,844.  Mailed-in absentee ballots: 9,777.  Over 23,000 voted in-person already today."

Assuming the GOP is in for a burb-stompin' tonight, this is welcome news for Joe Donnelly, especially given Hamilton swung leftward in 2016.

Eh Trump still won it by 20, so did Holcomb when he won by only 5 percent
Donnelly isn't going to win Hamilton County.  However, he could surpass the 40% mark, which could make the difference for him assuming he loses ground in the rurals.
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SCNCmod
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« Reply #529 on: November 06, 2018, 12:55:01 PM »
Are a lot of the Republican voters in Indiana hardcore MAGA til the end types or are most more reasonable?  Just doing a quick search of Donnelly on twitter and every other post is some MAGA person talking total crazy trash about Donnelly. (same regarding McCaskill)
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« Reply #530 on: November 06, 2018, 12:56:16 PM »
Quote from: SCNCmod on November 06, 2018, 12:55:01 PM
Are a lot of the Republican voters in Indiana hardcore MAGA til the end types or are most more reasonable?  Just doing a quick search of Donnelly on twitter and every other post is some MAGA person talking total crazy trash about Donnelly. (same regarding McCaskill)
I'm not sure you were looking at Indiana locals or Russian bots. 
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SCNCmod
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« Reply #531 on: November 06, 2018, 12:59:53 PM »
Quote from: hofoid on November 06, 2018, 12:56:16 PM
Quote from: SCNCmod on November 06, 2018, 12:55:01 PM
Are a lot of the Republican voters in Indiana hardcore MAGA til the end types or are most more reasonable?  Just doing a quick search of Donnelly on twitter and every other post is some MAGA person talking total crazy trash about Donnelly. (same regarding McCaskill)
I'm not sure you were looking at Indiana locals or Russian bots. 

That could be very true!
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Yellowhammer
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« Reply #532 on: November 06, 2018, 03:39:01 PM »
Quote from: NYC Millennial Minority on November 06, 2018, 03:38:35 PM
To anyone reading this who lives in Indiana - vote Mike Braun and straight Republican downballot!

#SendTrumpReinforcements
#BraunWillFireSleepingJoe
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UWS
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« Reply #533 on: November 06, 2018, 04:17:31 PM »
« Edited: November 06, 2018, 04:31:32 PM by UWS »
Quote from: NYC Millennial Minority on November 06, 2018, 03:38:35 PM
To anyone reading this who lives in Indiana - vote Mike Braun and straight Republican downballot!

#SendTrumpReinforcements
#BraunWillFireSleepingJoe

I Like Mike
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Unconditional Surrender Truman
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« Reply #534 on: November 06, 2018, 04:43:20 PM »
Quote from: NYC Millennial Minority on November 06, 2018, 03:38:35 PM
To anyone reading this who lives in Indiana - vote Mike Braun and straight Republican downballot!

#SendTrumpReinforcements
#BraunWillFireSleepingJoe
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Woody
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« Reply #535 on: November 06, 2018, 04:51:19 PM »
This is going to be an exciting night.
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hofoid
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« Reply #536 on: November 06, 2018, 04:51:48 PM »
I can see the momentum shifting toward Braun the same way Bayh collapsed last year.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #537 on: November 06, 2018, 04:54:08 PM »
Quote from: hofoid on November 06, 2018, 04:51:48 PM
I can see the momentum shifting toward Braun the same way Bayh collapsed last year.
How so?  Young ran an energetic campaign defining Bayh as a corrupt Washington insider.  The momentum shifted toward Young in mid-October and never looked back.

This time, the polling momentum has shifted to Donnelly.
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houseonaboat
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« Reply #538 on: November 06, 2018, 05:09:25 PM »
« Edited: November 06, 2018, 05:16:06 PM by houseonaboat »
Turnout in Dem stronghold Monroe County, IN at 45% as of 4pm; it was 26% in 2014. Issues with ballots in several polling places as well.

https://www.indystar.com/story/news/politics/elections/2018/11/06/indiana-election-2018-indystar-live-coverage-braun-donnelly/1749126002/



UPDATE - as of 5 pm turnout is up to 48% in Monroe.




This + the Lake and Marion numbers are very, very bad for Braun.
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Woody
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« Reply #539 on: November 06, 2018, 05:17:38 PM »
Quote from: houseonaboat on November 06, 2018, 05:09:25 PM
Turnout in Dem stronghold Monroe County, IN at 45% as of 4pm; it was 26% in 2014. Issues with ballots in several polling places as well.

https://www.indystar.com/story/news/politics/elections/2018/11/06/indiana-election-2018-indystar-live-coverage-braun-donnelly/1749126002/



UPDATE - as of 5 pm turnout is up to 48% in Monroe.




This + the Lake and Marion numbers are very, very bad for Braun.
Those numbers are not going to stop Braun.
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Joey1996
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« Reply #540 on: November 06, 2018, 06:14:46 PM »
This is looking like it will be a dragout. Gary might be the deciding factor
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #541 on: November 06, 2018, 06:28:19 PM »
I've got a bad feeling about this one.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #542 on: November 06, 2018, 06:49:01 PM »
Currently in counties that are reporting more than initial numbers, Braun is exceeding 2012 but in very few is he exceeding 2016. Most he is underperforming Young. That seems expected, since no one thinks Braun will win by ten.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #543 on: November 06, 2018, 06:56:00 PM »
Goodbye Donnelly, nice knowing you.
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J. J.
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« Reply #544 on: November 06, 2018, 06:58:48 PM »
I'd still wait for one of the urban counties. 
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #545 on: November 06, 2018, 07:00:06 PM »
Listen, I am no Bagel. This is not over. But we all have to admit, the rural support Donelly had in 2012 is gone. He'll either win thanks to suburbs and urban areas or he will lose.
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DabbingSanta
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« Reply #546 on: November 06, 2018, 07:37:39 PM »
Quote from: Young Conservative on November 06, 2018, 07:00:06 PM
Listen, I am no Bagel. This is not over. But we all have to admit, the rural support Donelly had in 2012 is gone. He'll either win thanks to suburbs and urban areas or he will lose.

This seems to be the trend nationwide in all elections. Rural support for Dems has taken a nose dive. Will be interesting to see if Donnelly can squeak by with support in Gary, Indy. My guess is he wont.
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J. J.
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« Reply #547 on: November 06, 2018, 07:38:48 PM »
Quote from: DabbingSanta on November 06, 2018, 07:37:39 PM
Quote from: Young Conservative on November 06, 2018, 07:00:06 PM
Listen, I am no Bagel. This is not over. But we all have to admit, the rural support Donelly had in 2012 is gone. He'll either win thanks to suburbs and urban areas or he will lose.

This seems to be the trend nationwide in all elections. Rural support for Dems has taken a nose dive. Will be interesting to see if Donnelly can squeak by with support in Gary, Indy. My guess is he wont.

Donnelly is taking a 34point lead in Lake. 
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #548 on: November 06, 2018, 08:01:06 PM »
The counties in the very south-west corner of Indiana, around the large city of Evansville have not reported anything yet.
I wonder if those could bring the race closer?
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #549 on: November 06, 2018, 08:35:51 PM »
Quote from: ProudModerate2 on November 06, 2018, 08:01:06 PM
The counties in the very south-west corner of Indiana, around the large city of Evansville have not reported anything yet.
I wonder if those could bring the race closer?
That is Braun's home turf, he's from Jasper which is just north of Evansville.
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