Rasmussen NH and IA: Obama leads (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 13, 2024, 01:34:55 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2008 Elections
  2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Rasmussen NH and IA: Obama leads (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Rasmussen NH and IA: Obama leads  (Read 3993 times)
TheresNoMoney
Scoonie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,907


Political Matrix
E: -3.25, S: -2.72
« on: October 24, 2008, 12:57:49 PM »
Quote from: Governor Duke, Dirty South on October 24, 2008, 12:56:10 PM
New Hampshire is tightening just at the right time.

I doubt that NH is tightening, there's no reason it would be. Probably statistical noise.
Logged
TheresNoMoney
Scoonie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,907


Political Matrix
E: -3.25, S: -2.72
« Reply #1 on: October 24, 2008, 01:32:46 PM »
Brandon, can you post the internals for the NH poll?
Logged
TheresNoMoney
Scoonie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,907


Political Matrix
E: -3.25, S: -2.72
« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2008, 04:50:33 PM »
Quote from: RowanBrandon on October 24, 2008, 04:13:33 PM
NH
R’s 90% McCain- 10% Obama
D’s 91% Obama- 5% McCain
I’s 51% Obama- 42% McCain

I reweighted the numbers based on NH voter registration and I get:

Obama    50.69%
McCain    45.41%

It only adds a point to his advantage.

I do think that Democratic turnout will be higher than Republican turnout and that Obama will win independents by more than 9%.  Other polls have shown him with a 20% lead among indies in NH.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.027 seconds with 14 queries.