What is the correct takeaway from the 2020 result going forward? (user search)
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  What is the correct takeaway from the 2020 result going forward? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: What is the correct takeaway from the 2020 result for elections going forward?
#1
Democrats are in a much stronger position because of strength in the suburbs and sun belt
 
#2
Democrats are in a somewhat stronger position because of shifting demographics in suburbs and the sun belt
 
#3
Republicans are in a much stronger position because of strength with the white working class and gains with Latinos
 
#4
Republicans are in a somewhat stronger position because they have more room to expand with minorities and win back suburbanites
 
#5
Neither party has any significant advantage moving forward -- it's a wash
 
#6
Democrats are stronger everywhere, Hillary was just toxic in 2016
 
#7
Republicans are stronger everywhere, Trump was just toxic in 2020
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 58

Author Topic: What is the correct takeaway from the 2020 result going forward?  (Read 1303 times)
Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,204


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -5.04

« on: May 07, 2021, 03:32:52 AM »
« edited: May 07, 2021, 05:09:30 PM by Monstro Doesn't Say Anything Interesting »

Really hard to say.


- Minorities swung quite a bit to the GOP, but there's too many excuses to know what the ultimate cause was. It could be a sign of things to come but it could also be an aberration. After all, Republicans completely squandered all the goodwill Dubya had with his impressive (In retrospect) Hispanic support in 2000 & 2004.
- Trump throwing a wrench into things by being Trump. Though at the same time, being a magnet for rural voters & Rust Belt voters.
- COVID overshadowing the entire election cycle.
- Record-high turnout that's likely to not be repeated in 2024.
- With 2022 being a BIDEN MIDTERM and all, I don't think we'll get many answers next year either (Outside of Georgia & maybe Arizona).


Final answer: 2020 was an unusual election in an unusual year. Currently, it's a frustrating election to analyze and I don't think we'll get the full picture for another few years. We'll get a much better read of the electorate in 2024 (Which could also better explain the 2020 election race)
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