If you know Hillary wins this state, you know she's won all 50

[Blue3]

Let's say it's election night, and for whatever reason you're distracted from paying any attention to the election results. But then you hear your first tidbit of results: Hillary has won the state of __________. After hearing this, you know Hillary has a very likely chance of winning all 50 states.

Which state would this be?



(A year or two ago, I would have said Utah or Texas... but now Utah is a swing state, and Hillary is only behind 4 points in Texas...)

[Blue3]

Iowa.  This would mean her deficit w/ non college white either collapsed, or the turnout operations were so vastly different that she was able to overcome a negative lreference with a key statewide cohort.

Iowa may not mean ohio is also won, but I think it would mean the rest if the midwest held.  Therefore, she is president without knowing any particulars about my state, nc, az, nv, co or nh

You misread this thread.