Redistricting victims next cycle. (user search)
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  Redistricting victims next cycle. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Redistricting victims next cycle.  (Read 10652 times)
DC Al Fine
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« on: October 19, 2018, 09:34:15 AM »

Jim Cooper's  district in Nashville is surrounded by three GOP safe seats. That wouldn't be too hard to crack.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2018, 09:07:50 PM »

I can see a Nashville crack backfiring, tbh.

I couldn't.  People underestimate a few things- how Republican Nashville suburbs are, the significant pockets of GOP strength within Davidson County, and that Nashville proper isn't even big enough for a full district.  Nashville is surrounded by TN-4, TN-6, and TN-7.  The sum of the Cook PVI's of those four districts (including TN-5) is R+57, which means it's possible to split Middle Tennessee into four R+14-15 districts (which actually mean 30 point GOP wins, as in 65-35).

What sort of PVI is required to be considered a safe seat?
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DC Al Fine
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Posts: 14,080
Canada


« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2018, 05:59:01 PM »

Is Cohen's seat is crackable or does it have to stay because of VRA?
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