Castle's Door is Open

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Delaware, like most small states, like Senators that can accumulate tons of seniority, but also is willing to toss out long term ones if they get too old. See Biden, or Roth for an example of both cases.

Neither exactly works for Castle.

[Joe Republic]

Delaware, like most small states, like Senators that can accumulate tons of seniority, but also is willing to toss out long term ones if they get too old. See Biden, or Roth for an example of both cases.

How did they toss out Biden?  Giving him 62% of the vote for a promotion to VP doesn't count because they simultaneously gave him 65% for re-election.

[Lunar]

Castle only raised $75k too in Q1.  That's not someone who is actively planning for a Senate run

[Lunar]

Delaware, like most small states, like Senators that can accumulate tons of seniority, but also is willing to toss out long term ones if they get too old. See Biden, or Roth for an example of both cases.

How did they toss out Biden?  Giving him 62% of the vote for a promotion to VP doesn't count because they simultaneously gave him 65% for re-election.

lol @ McCain/Palin /Joe Biden for Senate voters

[Rowan]

Castle only raised $75k too in Q1.  That's not someone who is actively planning for a Senate run

That's true. But Biden hasn't done any fundraising either(since he's in Iraq).

[Landslide Lyndon]

Delaware, like most small states, like Senators that can accumulate tons of seniority, but also is willing to toss out long term ones if they get too old. See Biden, or Roth for an example of both cases.

How did they toss out Biden?  Giving him 62% of the vote for a promotion to VP doesn't count because they simultaneously gave him 65% for re-election.

I think he meant Biden's first election when he still wasn't 30 years old. The voters assumed that by electing such a young senator he would go on to accumulate a lot of seniority.

Castle only raised $75k too in Q1.  That's not someone who is actively planning for a Senate run

That's true. But Biden hasn't done any fundraising either(since he's in Iraq).

You think Beau will have a hard time raising funds in no time?

[Lunar]

I'm not saying that puts him at a disadvantage, only that it puts him as someone who has yet to act seriously about this promotion.

[Rowan]

Delaware, like most small states, like Senators that can accumulate tons of seniority, but also is willing to toss out long term ones if they get too old. See Biden, or Roth for an example of both cases.

How did they toss out Biden?  Giving him 62% of the vote for a promotion to VP doesn't count because they simultaneously gave him 65% for re-election.

I think he meant Biden's first election when he still wasn't 30 years old. The voters assumed that by electing such a young senator he would go on to accumulate a lot of seniority.

Castle only raised $75k too in Q1.  That's not someone who is actively planning for a Senate run

That's true. But Biden hasn't done any fundraising either(since he's in Iraq).

You think Beau will have a hard time raising funds in no time?

Castle won't have any trouble raising funds if he declares. You don't think the RNC would pour a lot of money into the race if they think they have a chance? Especially if it is a chance to prevent 60?

[Lunar]

The RNC doesn't really "pour" money into Senate races...

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Delaware, like most small states, like Senators that can accumulate tons of seniority, but also is willing to toss out long term ones if they get too old. See Biden, or Roth for an example of both cases.

How did they toss out Biden?  Giving him 62% of the vote for a promotion to VP doesn't count because they simultaneously gave him 65% for re-election.

Biden is an example only of the former point, Roth is an example of both.

[HAnnA MArin County]

Castle won't have any trouble raising funds if he declares. You don't think the RNC would pour a lot of money into the race if they think they have a chance? Especially if it is a chance to prevent 60?
[/quote]

I think it's a longshot for the Republicans to prevent 60. Even if they pick up DE and CT, that still leaves Democrats with 57 seats (assuming Al Franken ever gets seated) and add NH, OH and MO where the seats are likely to flip and you get the magic number of 60, not to mention the other vulnerable seats in KY, NC and LA. But I agree with you, if Castle does decide to run, the RNC will and NRSC will undoubtedly go heavily after this seat.

[Rowan]

Castle won't have any trouble raising funds if he declares. You don't think the RNC would pour a lot of money into the race if they think they have a chance? Especially if it is a chance to prevent 60?

I think it's a longshot for the Republicans to prevent 60. Even if they pick up DE and CT, that still leaves Democrats with 57 seats (assuming Al Franken ever gets seated) and add NH, OH and MO where the seats are likely to flip and you get the magic number of 60, not to mention the other vulnerable seats in KY, NC and LA. But I agree with you, if Castle does decide to run, the RNC will and NRSC will undoubtedly go heavily after this seat.
[/quote]

Oh, no doubt. I think the chances of holding them under 60 seats, is about 1 in 10. But I figure the ONLY way to stop them from getting 60 is by winning this seat. There are really few other pickup opportunities.

[Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon]

Castle won't have any trouble raising funds if he declares. You don't think the RNC would pour a lot of money into the race if they think they have a chance? Especially if it is a chance to prevent 60?

I think it's a longshot for the Republicans to prevent 60. Even if they pick up DE and CT, that still leaves Democrats with 57 seats (assuming Al Franken ever gets seated) and add NH, OH and MO where the seats are likely to flip and you get the magic number of 60, not to mention the other vulnerable seats in KY, NC and LA. But I agree with you, if Castle does decide to run, the RNC will and NRSC will undoubtedly go heavily after this seat.

Oh, no doubt. I think the chances of holding them under 60 seats, is about 1 in 10. But I figure the ONLY way to stop them from getting 60 is by winning this seat. There are really few other pickup opportunities.
[/quote]

I think we keep LA, but don't forget PA will be vulnerable no matter what happens in the primary.