The Waco Siege and Somalia might not happen.
If the Republican Revolution is delayed until 1998, it wouldn’t result in all those “law and order” policies because “law and order” wasn’t an issue in 1998 or later. If W isn’t elected Governor until 1998, he wouldn’t be ready for the Presidency in 2000. A Democrat who’s first elected in 1996 would be re-elected on “peace and prosperity” in 2000, putting a Democrat in control of foreign policy in 2001-2004 (which likely means more effort to capture or kill Bin Laden and less regime change).
The Democrat in 1996 also wouldn’t be ridden with sex scandals.