TJ in Oregon
TJ in Cleve
Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,948
Political Matrix E: 0.13, S: 6.96
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« on: June 25, 2012, 10:17:41 PM » |
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Silver's had Romney winning Ohio for about a week in his "Nowcast" model but Obama winning the "Forecast" model. Now the two agree, though Romney still does better in Ohio in the Nowcast model for some reason (seemingly the opposite of the other swing states).
The last change only took Ohio from Obama 50.5% of the time to Romney 50.3% of the time, so it isn't a huge change. It will be interesting to watch the model over the next 4+ months as events change the political landscape in whatever way will happen.
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