I am going to be bold and predict Burns will lose by a margin greater than expected. I can see Tester winning by a surprise margin on election day as when it comes to it, Montanans go the polls in support of Governor Schweitzer's party and give Democrats majorities in the Legislature and elect a new Democratic Senator. The build-up of scandal and gaffes that Burns has accrued will mean that he will lose by a larger margin than expected. My prediction:
TESTER (D) 54%
BURNS (R) 45%
Well Tester did shock us in the primary.