Tbh, I don't think it has any effect for 2024. Not even 2022. There's some outrage among liberals now and some "joy" among conservatives, almost no one will change voting patterns because of this 3 years down the road. As bad as the law is in my opinion, too few people are actually impacted by this in real life, let alone to a degree to change their votes or turn out if they didn't before.
Depending on the national environment and the result, TX may shift 2-3 pts to the Dems or slightly R with a different candidate or a GOP overall victory. But that's all for different reasons.
Agreed.
