MS Megathread: Hyde-Smith wins by 8

[Oryxslayer]

I would rate Hood vs McDaniels as Tilt D actually, call me crazy, but yeah.

I’d rate it Lean D.

Anyway, Sabato thinks it’s Likely R, Cook Solid R.

Both cite the two big problems facing dems here: double barrels typically go both for the same party, and dems lack candidates.

This is why I would say leave it in likely R for now. Dems need a reasonable recruit for the regular MS election so that their floor/ceiling don't get pushed down by that election - even if they don't intend to win it, and they need to get Presley or Hood in the special to push it forwards.

[Bidenworth2020]

Is McDaniels flipping over?

He hasn't confirmed yet, but I bet he's considering.

he'd be a true dumbass not to

[Doimper]

I would rate Hood vs McDaniels as Tilt D actually, call me crazy, but yeah.

I’d rate it Lean D.

Anyway, Sabato thinks it’s Likely R, Cook Solid R.

Both cite the two big problems facing dems here: double barrels typically go both for the same party, and dems lack candidates.

This is why I would say leave it in likely R for now. Dems need a reasonable recruit for the regular MS election so that their floor/ceiling don't get pushed down by that election - even if they don't intend to win it, and they need to get Presley or Hood in the special to push it forwards.

Baria is a pretty reasonable recruit.

[Ye We Can]

I would rate Hood vs McDaniels as Tilt D actually, call me crazy, but yeah.

I’d rate it Lean D.

Anyway, Sabato thinks it’s Likely R, Cook Solid R.

Both cite the two big problems facing dems here: double barrels typically go both for the same party, and dems lack candidates.

This is why I would say leave it in likely R for now. Dems need a reasonable recruit for the regular MS election so that their floor/ceiling don't get pushed down by that election - even if they don't intend to win it, and they need to get Presley or Hood in the special to push it forwards.

Baria is pretty decent for the 'other' race. 

I think Presley v. McDaniel in the special and have Espy move over against Wicker is Dems best shot imo.

[Sestak]

Are we sure the special will be this year and not in 2019?

[Doimper]

he's running

[adrac]

he's running

yesss honeeyyyy

[Sestak]

Presley follows you?


Also YEEESSSSS!

[Skill and Chance]

Brandon Presley is an actual relative of Elvis, yes?

[Don Vito Corleone]

Brandon Presley is an actual relative of Elvis, yes?

Distant Cousins I believe.

[Doimper]

Presley follows you?


Also YEEESSSSS!

Haha no, someone else tweeted that screenshot out.

[Dr. Arch]

Looks like we have another barn burner in the deep south. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

[Don Vito Corleone]

he's running

It appears my sig has finally payed off.

[Greedo punched first]

Brandon Presley is an actual relative of Elvis, yes?

He is a relative of Elvis.

[7,052,770]

Republican wet dream scenario:
Bryant appoints himself, Reeves, or Hosemann. Neither the appointee nor Wicker faces any serious competition and both win by double digits in November.

Bannonist wet dream scenario:
McDaniel stays in the regular election and takes out Wicker and manages to nationalize the race and beat Baria in November. Michael Watson or Melanie Sojourner run against the appointee, advance to the runoff with a Democrat, and nationalize the race enough to pull it out in late November.

Democratic wet dream scenario:
The above happens, except Baria and Presley both win.

#2 and #3 are far less likely than #1.

[YE]

Is Presley a blue dog or more closer to Doug Jones/Jason Kander/Richard Ojeda?

[Don Vito Corleone]

Is Presley a blue dog or more closer to Doug Jones/Jason Kander/Richard Ojeda?

He's a Good Old Boy. So a Blue Dog, I suppose.

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

Mike Espy is running: https://www.clarionledger.com/story/news/politics/2018/03/05/espy-announces-run-cochran-senate-seat/397589002/

[Dr. MB]

Is Presley a blue dog or more closer to Doug Jones/Jason Kander/Richard Ojeda?

He's a Good Old Boy. So a Blue Dog, I suppose.

Describes himself as "Populist Democrat, Chairman of the Mississippi Public Service Commission-Cousin to the King of Rock & Roll-Winston Churchill enthusiast"

According to Ballotpedia:

On his 2011 campaign website Presley listed seven campaign issues that were the core of his campaign and work on the PSC:

"Fighting Against Rate Hikes and Wasteful Spending"
"Fighting Corporate Excess"
"Helping Small Businesses"
"Ratepayer's Bill of Rights"
"Enforcing the No-Call law, Protecting Consumers"
"Changing the Culture at the Public Service Commission"
"Fighting for Rural Areas"

[Del Tachi]

I think McDaniel will switch over.  His ambition has no bounds.

[henster]

This was Presley just a few years ago, this guy is a fighter!

[Dr. Arch]

This was Presley just a few years ago, this guy is a fighter!

O___O

[Dr. MB]

Policy-wise, what are the main differences between Espy and Presley?

[smoltchanov]

Well, under normal situation Cochran is almost the best what could be expected from Mississippi Senator (nonoffensive pragmatic conservative). But this year is far from being "normal", so - surprises are possible. Both "on the right" and "on the left" (at least = by Mississippi standards)

[Rhenna]

If Pressley doesn't run, I think Espy would be solid against McDaniel, he's giving me Doug Jones vibes.