MS Megathread: Hyde-Smith wins by 8

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Come on Wicker (in the primaries only). Then go whatever sacrificial lamb dem goes against him.

[BuckeyeNut]

How does MS special election law work?  For Cochran's seat, the best case scenario for the MS GOP is likely to have Cochran hold out until 2020 to retire and then have the open seat race with Trump at the top of the ballot.  The worst case scenario would seem to be a special sometime in 2019/20 where the open senate seat is the only thing on the ballot and McDaniel runs.  Given that there is a statewide GE every year in MS, would the MS GOP prefer to have the extra senate seat on the ballot in Nov 2018 or have it coincide with the Gov and state legislative races in 2019?

If I were the MS GOP, I would prefer it be in 2019 so the race would share the ballot with the MS GOV race.

Presley for Senate and Jim Hood for Governor is a very strong ticket for the Democrats.

[Gass3268]

Cochran is retiring:

[BuckeyeNut]

PRESLEY NOW

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

HOLY K

[Doimper]

PRESLEY NOW

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

WAIT. Is it an April fools joke?

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

This has to be a prank

[Ebsy]

Assuming there will be a special election in November, if Presley enters it will probably be a toss up.

[Gass3268]

Wicker has to be the biggest winner here as McDaniel will probably shift to this race.

[The Other Castro]

Guys I wrote "Not a prank" for a reason lol.

[Holmes]

WE WANT PRESLEY

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

Here goes my favorite Senate Republican.

[Gass3268]

This will be held under Mississippi Special Election rules too. Jungle primary and no party labels.

[LimoLiberal]

*Brandon Presley wakes up from his midday nap*

Mr. Presley, you have the DNC, DSCC, Chuck Schumer, Nancy Pelosi, Joe Biden, Alyssa Milano, Martin O'Malley, Justice Democrats, the Blue Dog Caucus, Mark Warner, and Doug Jones on hold right now.

[Doimper]

This will be held under Mississippi Special Election rules too. Jungle primary and no party labels.

It's a Thad day for Senate Republicans.

[Orser67]

Lean R. It would be pretty insane if Democrats somehow won Senate races in AL and MS in back-to-back years. Almost no one would have predicted that in 2016.

Also, looks like the election will be held in November according to the NCSL

[Gass3268]

Politico is reporting that McConnell wants Bryant to appoint himself.

[7,052,770]

Likely R, come on guys.

Presley vs. McDaniel runoff is a tossup, but almost any plausible other matchup is Safe R.

Remember that Evangelicals have 1984'd themselves and no longer think adultery is bad.

[RogueBeaver]

Jonathan Martin says no placeholder.

[7,052,770]

Something I thought of: Phil can't appoint Trent Kelly or Steven Palazzo without handing their House seats to their Democratic challengers, since the filing deadline has passed, so it almost certainly won't be one of them appointed. My money is on Delbert Hosemann.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Remember that Evangelicals have 1984'd themselves and no longer think adultery is bad.

This.

Likely R based on state history until we get a sense of who the democrats are actually running here. I'll provide a more complex analysis once we know if it's Hood, Presley, or someone else entirely.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Politico is reporting that McConnell wants Bryant to appoint himself.

That's old news. It was mentioned that Bryant was not interested at all.

[7,052,770]

Also if nobody gets 50% in November, it goes to a runoff 3 weeks later, so it's possible control of the U.S. Senate will be at stake.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Likely R in most scenarios, tilt R in Presley vs McDaniels.