CO, Ras: Romney leads by 2

[Devils30]

Dont forget Dems tend to outperform poll numbers here. I think Obama is probably up 2-5 at the moment. I'd also caution between comparing state and national polls from different organizations. If romney is up 2 here and 2 nationally it makes sense.

[Devils30]

Does anyone know what % of the white vote each candidate got in this poll?

I think states like CO are trending Dem in the long term (very high education rate, growing latino population) but the idea of CO being 1% more GOP than the nation isnt far fetched as it was only like 1-2% more Dem than Obama's national margin in 2008. McCain also put all his $$ into PA and away from CO, NV the final weeks. That being said, Obama's been slightly above his national numbers in PPP here and both him and Bennet overperformed polls in 2008, 2010 by about 4 points. In BOTH, the dems outperformed Rasmussen by 5. PPP has actually been the best pollster there.

2008 final polls: PPP 54-44 Obama, Rasmussen 51-47 Obama, result- Obama 54-45
2010 final polls: PPP Buck 49-48,  Rasmussen Buck 50-46, result 48-47 Bennet