2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread v2 (user search)
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  2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread v2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread v2  (Read 167306 times)
xavier110
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,567
United States
« on: July 18, 2020, 12:22:34 PM »

Not sure if this is the appropriate thread but help needed here!

I’m in the fortunate position where I have some extra cash each month that I’d like to donate to Democratic candidates. Can anyone point me to challengers/incumbents who would most benefit from some more donations? Whether it’s their expensive media market or that their challenger is also raising good money.

I have donated to Tipirneni in AZ06 since I’ll be moving to her district before the election. I know folks like Mark Kelly and Elissa Slotkin don’t need my $100!
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xavier110
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,567
United States
« Reply #1 on: October 12, 2020, 05:59:59 PM »



Beat me to it!

Possibilities:
Texas to Lean R
Alaska to Lean R
Maine to Lean D
North Carolina to Lean D
Michigan to Tossup (they did move Jersey to a tossup in 2018...)

I think your first 3 are on the money. 
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xavier110
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,567
United States
« Reply #2 on: October 22, 2020, 10:38:21 AM »



Big if true. The affluent suburbs are collapsing for the GOP.

Schweikert is a uniquely bad incumbent bc of the ethics issues but Tipirneni should not win this race. She will not out run or match Biden or Kelly here. So if she’s winning, Biden is swinging the district by 12-15 points or something outrageous.
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xavier110
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,567
United States
« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2020, 11:54:55 AM »

https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/21320//

Sabato made his final calls!

House: R gain MN-07, D gain AZ-06, GA-07, IN-05, MN-01, NJ-02, NC-02, NC-06, OH-01, PA-10, TX-23, TX-24.

Senate: R gain AL, D gain the core four, both GA seats go to a runoff.

I live in the district and can't wrap my head around Tipirneni winning AZ-06. I wouldn't predict it.

And if she somehow does, she easily loses against a normal Republican in '22.
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