Dems in 2008: 12 Pickup Opportunities in Senate?

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

While a whole heck of a lot of these may wind up being "competitive," there is no conceivable scenario where Democrats can seriously invest in all 12 of these races.  I mean, they have a COH advantage, yeah, but it's not like an infinity-to-one cash on hand advantage.

They simply won't want to invest in a Texas longshot; Mississippi seems unlikely even with a serious investment (but dems pikked u p aseat lolololol); Kleeb is dead in the water in Nebraska against a super popular Republican governor—national Dems won't even give him a second glance; and Democrats just don't win Senate races in North Carolina during Presidential years—and most of those "wins" have come with GOP candidates a lot more polarizing than Liddy Dole.

Almost forgot: Maine still is not a serious pick-up opportunity without a significant Collins scandal.  People with those kind of personal popularity numbers just don't lose.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

While a whole heck of a lot of these may wind up being "competitive," there is no conceivable scenario where Democrats can seriously invest in all 12 of these races.

Agreed.

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Agreed.

But in all honesty, people who say "Musgrove doesn't have any chance of making this close" are setting themselves up in rather more ridiculous fashion than people who are saying "he'll actually win".

I don't doubt that an open seat race in Mississippi will be close, or at least much closer than we're used to seeing in the state.  (Just like I don't doubt that Massachusetts will be much closer than we're used to seeing this year, either.)  I just doubt that Democrats will be able to win a national race there statewide, regardless of the climate.