Democratic Freak States Holy Saturday results thread (1st caucuses begin @1pmET)

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

He's still going to be way down after tonight, but Bernie did a lot better in Washington than he had to in the abstract, which will end up helping him make up for lost ground. It's still a long shot for him, but this margin in Washington is really what will end up keeping him alive through the weekend.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

I've noticed that 538 isn't covering these contests. Why no love for the Pacific states, Nate?

I had that thought too. Perhaps because of March Madness?

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

I've noticed that 538 isn't covering these contests. Why no love for the Pacific states, Nate?

538 dislikes Sanders. They think the Dem contest is already over and show more interest in the GOP race because Trump.

lol. They don't "dislike Sanders", they just accept the reality that the race is over.

Not necessarily, even by their math. Right now, he's at 89% of his delegate goal according to 538. After today, he'll likely be at 91-92%, unless something surprising happens in Hawaii.  Granted, he still has the Superdelegate problem, but that could change.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

I've noticed that 538 isn't covering these contests. Why no love for the Pacific states, Nate?

538 dislikes Sanders. They think the Dem contest is already over and show more interest in the GOP race because Trump.

lol. They don't "dislike Sanders", they just accept the reality that the race is over.

Not necessarily, even by their math. Right now, he's at 89% of his delegate goal according to 538. After today, he'll likely be at 91-92%, unless something surprising happens in Hawaii.  Granted, he still has the Superdelegate problem, but that could change.

Using a percentage really downplays the extent he is in the hole. According to 538, after tonight he "should" be down about 50 delegates if he was on track. Instead, he'll be down by 230+.

That is true. Using a percentage can be deceiving if you're not keeping in mind the ever-decreasing number of delegates left.  But the fact remains that he's making up some ground tonight. It likely won't be enough, but Clinton certainly isn't at a >99% chance of winning at this point.