The Hill: Attorney's PA-3 bid sets up possible Dem primary (user search)
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  The Hill: Attorney's PA-3 bid sets up possible Dem primary (search mode)
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Author Topic: The Hill: Attorney's PA-3 bid sets up possible Dem primary  (Read 749 times)
Keystone Phil
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Posts: 52,607


« on: June 19, 2007, 03:43:40 PM »

English will hang on.

As for something else stated in the article, we're trying to win back 4, 8 and 10. The 7th (Sestak's) is nearly impossible without U.S. Attorney Meehan running and that would still be tough for the GOP.
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Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


« Reply #1 on: June 19, 2007, 04:05:49 PM »

English will hang on.

As for something else stated in the article, we're trying to win back 4, 8 and 10. The 7th (Sestak's) is nearly impossible without U.S. Attorney Meehan running and that would still be tough for the GOP.

8th is going to be just as hard as 7th. 

The 8th has a heavyweight preparing for a comeback. The 7th has a heavyweight who is thinking about running but would still have an uphill battle. Fitz may have a tough race in the 8th but the district is Republican as opposed to the 7th.
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Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


« Reply #2 on: June 19, 2007, 04:23:26 PM »

English will hang on.

As for something else stated in the article, we're trying to win back 4, 8 and 10. The 7th (Sestak's) is nearly impossible without U.S. Attorney Meehan running and that would still be tough for the GOP.

8th is going to be just as hard as 7th. 

The 8th has a heavyweight preparing for a comeback. The 7th has a heavyweight who is thinking about running but would still have an uphill battle. Fitz may have a tough race in the 8th but the district is Republican as opposed to the 7th.

Both districts lean Dem at the Presidential level.  The reverse coattails will hurt the Republicans running.

Let's see how popular the nominees are before we say how hurt the GOP candidates will be.
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Keystone Phil
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Posts: 52,607


« Reply #3 on: June 19, 2007, 04:29:35 PM »

It usually doesn't matter how popular the nominee is.  Just ask Ken Lucas.

Or we could just ask Peter Kostmayer, the former Dem Congressman from the 8th, who lost the seat in 1992 despite Clinton's win in the district, the state and the country.
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Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


« Reply #4 on: June 19, 2007, 04:43:20 PM »

It usually doesn't matter how popular the nominee is.  Just ask Ken Lucas.

Or we could just ask Peter Kostmayer, the former Dem Congressman from the 8th, who lost the seat in 1992 despite Clinton's win in the district, the state and the country.

Kostmayer was involved in a big scandal and had 150 overdrafts at the House bank.  Murphy doesn't have any of that.

Well, we'll have to see. If his star begins to fade, he is definetley vulnerable. Fitz is a popular man and very well known in the district. Give the Bucks county GOP a better GOTV effort in 2008 (which I'm sure they'll have because of other big races) and it will be a close one.
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