Georgia's Very Own Megathread!

[Adam Griffin]

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/194542-georgia-gop-schedules-7-debates-for-crowded-senate-field

[Adam Griffin]

Another good quarter for Nunn, as she raised $1.6 million.

She is just raking in that dough over Kingston's comments. If the worst-case scenario for Rs isn't playing out, then Kingston needs strong fundraising numbers right about now. If that were the case, I would think the campaign would have already released the figures. It'll be interesting to see if even the Republican field combined is out-raising Nunn - I tend to think it isn't.

But...

[Morning in Atlas]

It begins.

[Joe Republic]

Cross-posted from Congressional Elections:

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[Miles]

$880K this quarter for Kingston bringing him to $4 million overall.

Perdue self-funded $1 million.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Did Handel get at least an okay showing this time?

[Miles]

Did Handel get at least an okay showing this time?

Looks like Handel's numbers still haven't been released. Kingston and Perdue were apparently the only eager beavers.

[tmthforu94]

http://www.peachpundit.com/2014/01/08/karen-handels-new-radio-ad-results/

Karen Handel is out with a new radio ad, called "Results".

Her campaign is similar to the 2010 Gubernatorial campaign - she's really going after her opponents and labeling herself as an outsider. Hopefully she is successful.

[publicunofficial]

John Barrow took the time to say, again, that he's running for re-election.


I've heard that unlike McIntyre, Barrow actually enjoys campaigning and likes having a tough fight every year.

[Miles]

I've heard that unlike McIntyre, Barrow actually enjoys campaigning and likes having a tough fight every year.

No kidding

When I read over this comment in an RRH thread the other day, I thought there was some truth to it:

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[badgate]

If he relishes tough campaigns he must have thought the Senate race looked too easy.

[publicunofficial]

If he relishes tough campaigns he must have thought the Senate race looked too easy.

Or he loves tough campaigns so much that he didn't run for Senate because there's a good chance it'd be his LAST campaign.

[Miles]

The Atlanta Journal-Constitution has Deal up 9, despite his bad press.

The Senate race is up in the air:

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Also, anyone hear about Kingston's "no free lunch" comment? Not great optics for him here:

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[Adam Griffin]

A pretty boring map, but hey, it's my home and/or whatever.

[GAworth]

A pretty boring map, but hey, it's my home and/or whatever.

Can you do one for the 11th?

[Adam Griffin]

Can you do one for the 11th?

Oh man, that'd be much more difficult. Unless you can get me shapefile or KML data for the congressional district at the precinct level, I'd most likely have to hand-draw the map. 11 has way more precincts than 14.

I could probably do one using this one, but obviously it doesn't look as smooth. I could be wrong, but eyeballing it made me think multiple precincts were split?

[old timey villain]

http://www.ajc.com/news/news/state-regional-govt-politics/medical-marijuana-bill-on-its-way/nc4Dt/?icmp=ajc_internallink_textlink_homepage

A bill legalizing medical marijuana is on its way to the floor of the Georgia general assembly. Rep. Allen Peake (R) of Macon is introducing the bill.

As much as I loathe the Republican dominance here in Georgia, the Republicans do seem to be listening to public opinion when it comes to increasing tolerance of mind altering substances. First they vote to allow alcohol purchases on Sunday, catapulting Georgia into the 20th century, and now medical marijuana. It probably helps that recent polls show most georgians firmly in support of this. Now on to complete legalization, but I doubt they would ever go that far.

Could these laissez faire policies help statewide Republicans with young Georgians who aren't totally devoted to the GOP?

[Frodo]

Another Republican is considering throwing his hat into the ring among others jostling on who is the most likely to unseat Rep. John Barrow.  Article is from late last week, but I don't recall seeing it posted anywhere.

Is there anyone in the race -so far- that Barrow needs to really worry about?  

[publicunofficial]

Another Republican is considering throwing his hat into the ring among others jostling on who is the most likely to unseat Rep. John Barrow.  Article is from late last week, but I don't recall seeing it posted anywhere.

Is there anyone in the race -so far- that Barrow needs to really worry about?  

Rick Allen would be his strongest opponent, but any of the candidates currently in or looking at the race would be better than the disaster that was Lee Anderson.

[Adam Griffin]

Another Republican is considering throwing his hat into the ring among others jostling on who is the most likely to unseat Rep. John Barrow.  Article is from late last week, but I don't recall seeing it posted anywhere.

Is there anyone in the race -so far- that Barrow needs to really worry about?  

Rick Allen would be his strongest opponent, but any of the candidates currently in or looking at the race would be better than the disaster that was Lee Anderson.

I'd agree, and Barrow needs to worry about any candidate that is not a complete nut-job and/or slacker. 2012 was 54/46 - some might say being on the ballot with Obama could have hurt him a bit, but he also had a good turnout from Richmond County to pad his numbers. Augusta blacks have pretty terrible mid-term turnout when compared to black turnout statewide, so it's worrisome. Barrow could lose 2-3 points if there's a significant shift in mid-term electorate, and another 2-3 points with a credible Republican challenger. Assuming Barrow doesn't do anything stupid (likely), his floor is probably 48%, but I don't see his ceiling being any higher than 51% without someone like Anderson. If the candidates are within one point of one another, then a recall is almost guaranteed and who knows how that turns out.

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

Boom. An empire-sized map for the Empire State of the South.

[snip]

A nitpick: Why is there a lack of data for several precincts in Chattahoochee County?  I've noticed the same to be true for the 2008 results in DRA.

[Adam Griffin]

Boom. An empire-sized map for the Empire State of the South.

[snip]

A nitpick: Why is there a lack of data for several precincts in Chattahoochee County?  I've noticed the same to be true for the 2008 results in DRA.

The entire permanent population of the county resides in the southeastern quadrant of Chattahoochee; the remaining 3/4 or so is part of Fort Benning, along with four precincts in Muscogee that make up around 40% of that county's land area.

And/or it gets hotter than a hoochie coochie

[TX Conservative Dem]

Dems could get the Georgia governorship back in 2018.

[Miles]

Could there be much political fallout from the snowstorm? 63% in Atlanta disapprove of Deal's handling of it.

[old timey villain]

Could there be much political fallout from the snowstorm? 63% in Atlanta disapprove of Deal's handling of it.

at first I didn't think so but the coverage has been brutal and it looks like the Georgia Democratic Party is looking to pounce. It definitely won't be issue #1 during the fall campaign but it has the potential to cost Deal some votes, especially in metro Atlanta.