My updated 2018 senate ratings

[King Lear]

In light of resent events these are my new 2018 senate ratings.
Safe Democratic: CA, NY, MA, CT, RI, NJ, DE, MD, VT, WA, and HI
Likely Democratic: MN, ME, VA, and NM
Lean Democratic: MI, PA, and WI
Tossup: FL, OH, WV, MT, and NV
Lean Republican: AZ, MO, ND, and IN
Likely Republican: none
Safe Republican: TX, MS, TN, NE, UT, and WY
Basically the Alabama election has caused me to reconsider the vulnerability of the 5 double-digit trump state Democratic incumbents hence my ratings shift towards democrats in all those seats and has made me realize heller and flakes open seats are much more vulnerable then I originally thought. Finally this means the republicans pathway to a 60 seat supermajority is all but impossible, however this doesn’t mean democrats still can’t lose 3-7 seats next year if democrats get overconfident.

[OSR stands with Israel]

In light of resent events these are my new 2018 senate ratings.
Safe Democratic: CA, NY, MA, CT, RI, NJ, DE, MD, VT, WA, and HI
Likely Democratic: MN, ME, VA, and NM
Lean Democratic: MI, PA, and WI
Tossup: FL, OH, WV, MT, and NV
Lean Republican: AZ, MO, ND, and IN
Likely Republican: none
Safe Republican: TX, MS, TN, NE, UT, and WY
Basically the Alabama election has caused me to reconsider the vulnerability of the 5 double-digit trump state Democratic incumbents hence my ratings shift towards democrats in all those seats and has made me realize heller and flakes open seats are much more vulnerable then I originally thought. Finally this means the republicans pathway to a 60 seat supermajority is all but impossible, however this doesn’t mean democrats still can’t lose 3-7 seats next year if democrats get overconfident.

I would make AZ a Tossup , and TN Likely GOP

[King Lear]

In light of resent events these are my new 2018 senate ratings.
Safe Democratic: CA, NY, MA, CT, RI, NJ, DE, MD, VT, WA, and HI
Likely Democratic: MN, ME, VA, and NM
Lean Democratic: MI, PA, and WI
Tossup: FL, OH, WV, MT, and NV
Lean Republican: AZ, MO, ND, and IN
Likely Republican: none
Safe Republican: TX, MS, TN, NE, UT, and WY
Basically the Alabama election has caused me to reconsider the vulnerability of the 5 double-digit trump state Democratic incumbents hence my ratings shift towards democrats in all those seats and has made me realize heller and flakes open seats are much more vulnerable then I originally thought. Finally this means the republicans pathway to a 60 seat supermajority is all but impossible, however this doesn’t mean democrats still can’t lose 3-7 seats next year if democrats get overconfident.

If Kelli ward is the candidate in Arizona it’s a tossup, however if Martha mcsally is the candidate it’s lean republican. Tennessee will only be competitive if Marsha Blackburn is nominated and says something extremely illiterate.