UncleSam
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,518
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« on: July 08, 2017, 02:32:02 PM » |
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Obvious answer is both, just like presidential elections favor both Democrats AND the incumbent president.
As for which trend is stronger, my guess would be the out-party factor, but I really think Democrats don't realize just how big their lead in national perception will have to be in order to win the house over gerrymandering + worst voter distribution + worse base turnout naturally (even if it gets boosted by Trump). I'd be surprised if Dems won the house winning the PV by less than 8 honestly, which is a massive win.
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