Is NH still a swing state?

[Asian Nazi]

I was once a huge critic of my friend TN Volunteer's insistence that NH was a blue state and trending even bluer. However, angry women aside, I am now solidly convinced that this is the case.  NH can be won by a Republican, but it is growing increasingly difficult and will soon be impossible.  The Vermontification is well under way.

[Asian Nazi]

The idea that "a state was close in the election, therefore it's a swing state" is stupid.  It's predicated on the assumption that national uniform swing is a real thing, which it most certainly isn't.  Swings vary wildly from state to state and from election to election.  There is nothing more frustrating than Atlas Republican #analysis about how Minnesota is a swing state, when the fact is that the GOP hasn't broken 50% there in a statewide election in over 20 years.  Closeness doesn't mean sh*t when your ceiling is below 50%.