Do we know what % of voters switched party support in each election? (user search)
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  Do we know what % of voters switched party support in each election? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Do we know what % of voters switched party support in each election?  (Read 1170 times)
hopper
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Posts: 3,414
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« on: October 29, 2016, 02:54:03 PM »

Take this with a grain of salt, since I don't remember which poll measured this, but I recall reading in 2012 that for every two Obama 08 voters that he lost, Obama gained one McCain voter.

Who would those have been? They couldn't have all been PUMA's.


In 2008, it was still seen as acceptable for well-educated people to support the Republicans.  A great deal of damage was done to the party's credibility with the rise of birtherism and the rhetoric that the GOP used in the lead up to 2012.
Romney won College Grad(but not Post Grad) in 2012 51-47%. Birtherism didn't cost the GOP votes in 2012.
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hopper
Sr. Member
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Posts: 3,414
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2016, 03:00:33 PM »

Take this with a grain of salt, since I don't remember which poll measured this, but I recall reading in 2012 that for every two Obama 08 voters that he lost, Obama gained one McCain voter.

Who would those have been? They couldn't have all been PUMA's.

Presumably more fiscally conservative voters who saw that Obama was actually very moderate and didn't appreciate the direction that the Tea Party was taking the GOP.

In 2008, it was still seen as acceptable for well-educated people to support the Republicans.  A great deal of damage was done to the party's credibility with the rise of birtherism and the rhetoric that the GOP used in the lead up to 2012.

I'd say the opposite. I recall someone doing a story on an Ohio voter, a veteran, who felt McCain was more compassionate than Romney and had voted GOP for years. Recall Romney's persona through the campaign.
True Romney talked like a businessman in the 2012 campaign because that was his main background was in the business sector. McCain was in the Navy and was a Captain in the Navy as well as being a POW in Vietnam. In conclusion, Romney and McCain had 2 different life or work backgrounds if you will. McCain probably sounded like he had more compassion than Romney because of his experience of being a POW and being in the Navy.
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