ICM poll published today (July 26th)
Con 43%, Lab 27%, UKIP 13%, Lib Dem 8%, SNP 4%, Green 4%, Others 1%
Forecast House of Commons: Con 375, Lab 194, SNP 45, NI Seats 18, Lib Dem 12, Plaid 4, Green 1, UKIP 1 (Con maj of 100)
I have to imagine this is a honeymoon bump for for May. I am surprised how well the UKIP polling numbers are holding up.
I don't think that UKIP will be able to take another election where they get 12-13% and don't get more than 1 MP.
Well at this point UKIP might not make it to a general election as one party at the rate that they are going.
