Do you think the Democrats will win the House in 2018? (user search)
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  Do you think the Democrats will win the House in 2018? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Do you think the Democrats will win the House in 2018?
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
#3
Not sure
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 101

Author Topic: Do you think the Democrats will win the House in 2018?  (Read 2897 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,802
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« on: September 13, 2017, 10:44:32 PM »

I continue to be doubtful after the GA-6 fail. But these retirements certainly help dems.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,802
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #1 on: September 14, 2017, 01:48:56 AM »

So, looking at the last house speaker floor vote, there were 4 democrats that did not vote Pelosi. Now, Sinema is out of the picture as she is running for Senate, and Kathleen Rice and Ron Kind would follow the party line if their vote mattered. But what about Jim Cooper? He has always hated the idea of voting Pelosi for speaker, even occasionally voting for Colin Powell to prove his point. If the house is 218-217 D, and Jim Cooper votes for someone else for speaker, and all republicans vote their party line, then the speaker vote is 217-217-1, which sends us into an unpredictable second ballot situation. So if the democrats want this house majority, they better go for at least 25 seats, not settle for 24.
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