Is Wisconsin still trending Republican?

[Scottholes 2.0]

- Dane County continues to grow and get more Democratic every election cycle.
- The WOW counties seem to be trending Democratic, except for Washington County (Vukmir got less than 60 percent in Ozaukee!)
- The GOP-leaning rural areas are shrinking
- Milwaukee County delivered higher than average margins for Democratis in a midterm.

This may only be one election, but if Dane countues to grow and deliver increasingly high Democratic margins, WI will probably always be a purple state. I can't say WI is trending Democratic when the rural in Western WI are still swingy.

[Scottholes 2.0]

Would you guys say that WI is turning red faster than it is blue, then, even with the growth of Dane and GOP collaspe in WOW?

[Scottholes 2.0]

No, what's happening in Wisconsin is similar to what's happening in Minnesota and Michigan. Democrats are losing ground in many of their traditional areas, but are almost simultaneously replacing those voters with voters in traditional Republican areas.

Where this hurts Democrats is in the state legislature. Even with the Democratic ticket sweeping statewide, they lost a seat in the State Senate and made zero gains in the State Assembly. The state party is really gonna have to starting making a local push in the WOW counties and urban areas in the Fox Cities/Valley in order to start making a dent in those Republican margins.

This makes a lot of sense. Thanks!

[Scottholes 2.0]

This article states that the D trends in the Milwaukee and Madison metros and the R trends in the rural parts of the state have been cancelling each other out. The partisan lean of Brown County and the Fox Valley has remained virtually unchanged, which is also helping keep Wisconsin purple.

https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/blogs/wisconsin-voter/2018/11/30/wisconsin-undergoes-political-shifts-while-somehow-staying-purple/2160683002/