Who wins NY-11?

[lfromnj]

Rose, although Malliotakis certainly has a shot. I think the "wave" environment building for Democrats this year, along with Rose's crossover appeal and his status as a "reasonable" Democrat will enable him to win reelection, but he will be one of the most vulnerable Democrats in 2022.

He'll be safe if the Dem supermajority legislature nukes the redistricting commission and draws lower Manhattan into his seat instead of Bay Ridge.

He doesn't get Manhattan. He gets those problematic white hipsters in West Brooklyn who no one else wants. Same effect.

[lfromnj]

Rose, although Malliotakis certainly has a shot. I think the "wave" environment building for Democrats this year, along with Rose's crossover appeal and his status as a "reasonable" Democrat will enable him to win reelection, but he will be one of the most vulnerable Democrats in 2022.

He'll be safe if the Dem supermajority legislature nukes the redistricting commission and draws lower Manhattan into his seat instead of Bay Ridge.

He doesn't get Manhattan. He gets those problematic white hipsters in West Brooklyn who no one else wants. Same effect.

Bay Ridge is mainly crusty Irish/Italian civil servants, and a growing Arab population. The white hipsters are mainly up in NY-12 (source: I'm one of those problematic white hipsters).

To answer the question: Max Rose has this.

Yes by West Brooklyn I meant the part bordering Manhattan, overall no reason to draw the district upto Manhattan.