OH-12 - PPP (D): Trump +1 (user search)
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  OH-12 - PPP (D): Trump +1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: OH-12 - PPP (D): Trump +1  (Read 1008 times)
Sbane
sbane
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Posts: 15,316


« on: October 23, 2020, 10:23:52 AM »

Add about 8 points for Trump minimum since it’s not only PPP but an internal.

I would add only 5 points but even then this is not a great poll for Biden. I think this illustrates why Trump will likely hold on to Ohio.
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Sbane
sbane
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*****
Posts: 15,316


« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2020, 11:07:56 AM »

Add about 8 points for Trump minimum since it’s not only PPP but an internal.

I would add only 5 points but even then this is not a great poll for Biden. I think this illustrates why Trump will likely hold on to Ohio.
This is a Trump+11 district, how is doing 10 points better than Clinton not a good poll for Biden.
PPP is a fair pollster, just sayin

It is still an internal and this poll was released for a reason. Probably to show Balderson below 50.
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Sbane
sbane
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,316


« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2020, 11:13:44 AM »

Add about 8 points for Trump minimum since it’s not only PPP but an internal.

I would add only 5 points but even then this is not a great poll for Biden. I think this illustrates why Trump will likely hold on to Ohio.

I recommend taking the numbers as they are, and just incorporating them into the broader picture being painted cumulatively by other polls. Someone on Atlas recommending that we add X points because Y amounts to nothing more than a non-expert talking out of their ass to try and look smart or shape the narrative to one they are more comfortable with.

Sure, 5 points is arbitrary. Maybe it’s 8 or maybe it’s 3, but I can assure you this is the best picture the Democrats can show for their side in this district. Why would we think otherwise?
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