I don't know, for some reason I don't see Musgrave losing reelection.
Musgrave's going to suddenly start to get an ouch of political talent?
No, but the Cook PVI in the district seems too slanted to the Republicans for Markey to win. I dunno.
The district is clearly moving to the Democrats. Musgrave's margin of victory has gotten thinner and thinner in every election since her first in 2002. Just look at Larimer county that makes almost half of the district's votes and is the fastest growing in the district. George W. Bush won it by just 52%-47% in 2004 after he won it 53%-39% in 2000 and even Bob Dole won it by five points in 1996. Obama will almost surely carry it by at least a few points and that will surely help Markey.
Uh, Bush won the district 58-41. The only reason Larimer swung so much to Kerry was because the Nader votes (which constituted a high amount of votes in the county in 2000) broke hard for Kerry in 2004.
