Gravis Marketing(Arizona Senate Race): Sinema+4 against McSally

[Arkansas Yankee]

Sinema with an okay lead in LOLGravis shows how well this race is going

That only assumes Republicans do not start to unite behind McSally afteR the primary.  If they do this poll leans the race to toss up, as Sinema is not in the high 40s.

[Arkansas Yankee]

I find it highly amusing that some pundits still have this as Toss-Up instead of Lean (or at least Tilt) D.

A pundit who believed the race was D +4 might rate it toss-up to await post primary movement of Republicans.

A pundit who believed the race was D +8 might well rate it as lilt or lean D.

I do not see anything amusing here.  There is just a different view of the current state of the race.

[Arkansas Yankee]

It's still Lean D, but Gov race is a second tier pickup, next to GA, Iowa and MD

I will quibble with you. But don’t knock folks who want to wait and see how the post primary voting trends.

In fact the Arizona Governor and Senate races will mos likely flow in tandem to one party or the other.