It looks as if it is taken for some advocacy group. Suspect until I see otherwise. Hillary Clinton up 5% over Bush or Romney in North Carolina is suspect.
How so ? NC was R + 6 last election in 2012 and will probably be around R + 5 in 2016. If Hillary is up 10 points nationally against Bush and Romney then it is realistic.
Good analysis. I get sick of people thinking that such and such state is "red" or "blue" All states move with the national popular vote. If Hillary is up 10 nationally, she is leading in NC by about 5. GA probably 2-4 and AZ toss up.