The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread

[Tender Branson]

Interesting ...

All recent polls seem to suggest that Democrats are on the losing side of the issue of Trump's travel ban.

This thing is highly popular with Republicans and Indies actually.

[Fusionmunster]

Interesting ...

All recent polls seem to suggest that Democrats are on the losing side of the issue of Trump's travel ban.

This thing is highly popular with Republicans and Indies actually.

The issue most are having is with legal residents getting stopped/deported. Trump is on the right side of public opinion partially, however, it gets more complicated when you include green card holders.

[heatcharger]

Isn't the fact that he's only -18 in California bad news for him? It's the same argument made when Hillary was holding massive leads in California but was narrowly leading nationally.

[Tender Branson]

Isn't the fact that he's only -18 in California bad news for him? It's the same argument made when Hillary was holding massive leads in California but was narrowly leading nationally.

Why would this be bad for Trump ?

He's down 18 in CA, when he lost the state by 30.

Which means it's likely that his national approval is even, or slightly positive.

[Mr. Morden]

Interesting ...

All recent polls seem to suggest that Democrats are on the losing side of the issue of Trump's travel ban.

This thing is highly popular with Republicans and Indies actually.

The issue most are having is with legal residents getting stopped/deported. Trump is on the right side of public opinion partially, however, it gets more complicated when you include green card holders.

He seems to have surrendered on green card holders:

http://www.politico.com/story/2017/02/white-house-green-card-holders-no-longer-covered-by-trump-executive-order-234505

But there are plenty of temporary legal residents (like students) who are still affected.  Not sure what is the best way to cover those people in a poll question like this.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Gallup:
Jan 31:

Disapprove 52% (+1)
Approve 43% (nc)

http://www.gallup.com/poll/201617/gallup-daily-trump-job-approval.aspx

[KingSweden]

lol

You must be logged in to read this quote.

https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/826949540183957504

Haha

[Middle-aged Europe]

lol

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https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/826949540183957504

Haha

On Jan. 26 they had 35% in favour of impeaching Trump, and 50% against it. I wonder what surge is to expect here.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2017/01/americans-think-trump-will-be-worst-president-since-nixon.html

[Wiz in Wis]

lol

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https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/826949540183957504

Haha

On Jan. 26 they had 35% in favour of impeaching Trump, and 50% against it. I wonder what surge is to expect here.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2017/01/americans-think-trump-will-be-worst-president-since-nixon.html

40% favor impeaching him
48% oppose

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2017/02/after-2-weeks-voters-yearn-for-obama.html

[Devout Centrist]

lol

You must be logged in to read this quote.

https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/826949540183957504

Haha

On Jan. 26 they had 35% in favour of impeaching Trump, and 50% against it. I wonder what surge is to expect here.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2017/01/americans-think-trump-will-be-worst-president-since-nixon.html

40% favor impeaching him
48% oppose

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2017/02/after-2-weeks-voters-yearn-for-obama.html

Wow

[Ronnie]

So, most people who disapprove of Trump already want to impeach him?  That's insane.

[KingSweden]

So, most people who disapprove of Trump already want to impeach him?  That's insane.

That's a... pretty big jump.

President Pence seems more and more likely every day.

[Dr. Arch]

So, most people who disapprove of Trump already want to impeach him?  That's insane.

That's a... pretty big jump.

President Pence seems more and more likely every day.

At this point, I don't mind.

[The_Doctor]

So, most people who disapprove of Trump already want to impeach him?  That's insane.

That's a... pretty big jump.

President Pence seems more and more likely every day.

25th or straight up impeachment? I do think when impeachment nears 45% the GOP will start fleeing. But I don't anticipate impeachment or 25th until past the 2018 midterms because the GOP is far more vulnerable in 2020 in the Senate.  

[KingSweden]

So, most people who disapprove of Trump already want to impeach him?  That's insane.

That's a... pretty big jump.

President Pence seems more and more likely every day.

25th or straight up impeachment? I do think when impeachment nears 45% the GOP will start fleeing. But I don't anticipate impeachment or 25th until past the 2018 midterms because the GOP is far more vulnerable in 2020 in the Senate.  

Nah. Weren't Bush's over 50%? Dems had the Senate and they never tried

Yeah, but Bush had been in office much longer

[The Other Castro]

Lol at the 3% of Trump voters that also say they favor impeachment.

[Middle-aged Europe]

Lol at the 3% of Trump voters that also say they favor impeachment.

#Trumpgrets


Gallup approvals remained unchanged today btw at 43/52.

[Tender Branson]

NJ (Fairleigh Dickinson University)

Among adults: 37-50
Among RV only: 38-51

http://view2.fdu.edu/publicmind/2017/170202

[rob in cal]

  I'm not surprised much of Trumps immigration actions are getting decent levels of support. Whenever there is a general poll about whether people support more legal immigration, less, or just stay the same, its usually a plurality in favor of less, a fair amount for the same, and a small amount for more immigration.  This doesn't directly relate to most of Trumps immigration EO's but does indicate the general lay of the land politically on the overall issue of immigration.

[pbrower2a]

So, most people who disapprove of Trump already want to impeach him?  That's insane.

That's a... pretty big jump.

President Pence seems more and more likely every day.

25th or straight up impeachment? I do think when impeachment nears 45% the GOP will start fleeing. But I don't anticipate impeachment or 25th until past the 2018 midterms because the GOP is far more vulnerable in 2020 in the Senate.  

Nah. Weren't Bush's over 50%? Dems had the Senate and they never tried

The VP who would have succeeded Dubya was also seen as culpable. A double-impeachment after January 2007 would have gotten America Nancy Pelosi as President, which would have made things very tricky.   

[pbrower2a]

New Presidents usually try to do things to reach out to those who voted 'wrong', trying to ensure them that those who voted 'wrong' will not have cause to distrust the new President or that the President will solve the problems that people not voting for him still want solved. Donald Trump has faulted them instead for not falling in line. The 46% who voted for him is his maximum of possible support.  President Trump may satisfy GOP core support, but he does so while alienating just about everyone else. Contrast Barack Obama, who left no doubt that he wanted to solve the economic problems of Republicans, too, when the economy looked as if it were in a reprise of the economic meltdown eerily similar to that of 1929-1933.   

The executive orders that a Federal court overturns quickly on Constitutional grounds or for violating statute demonstrate a contempt for precedent contrary to the norm of nearly 230 years of American government, and perhaps even more if one goes back to Colonial times.

People who voted against him in 2016 are beginning to dislike him even more. But such people have only one vote.  That is the hope for Republicans. It is a huge gamble; Democrats need only win a few more thousand votes in the right places either by winning new, probably  younger non-voters of 2016, attrition of Trump voters of 2016 due to death or infirmity,  better campaigning, or turning some voters for President (and likely other offices) from Trump. 

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

So, most people who disapprove of Trump already want to impeach him?  That's insane.

Agreed. Not only that, but as idiotic as Trump has been other than potentially violating the emoluments clause (and Congress could pass a law that would make that problem go away) there nothing he's done yet that would rise to the level of an impeachable offense.

[pbrower2a]

So what is impeachable?

1. Any deed generally recognized as criminal in nature as a felony offense, including but not limited to murder, rape, theft, perjury, filing a false tax return, violation of human rights, obstruction of justice,  or participation in a criminal enterprise.

2. Violations of international law, including war crimes of any kind or unilateral abrogation of treaties.

3. Failure to perform the minimal deeds of the President, exercise of powers explicitly denied to
 the President, or performing deeds incompatible with serving as President.

4. Misrepresentation of eligibility to be President.


My suggestions.

[Gass3268]

CBS News Poll:

Approve 40%
Disapprove 48%

Travel Ban:

Approve 45%
Disapprove 51%

Temporary Ban on Refugees:

Approve 45%
Disapprove 51%

Source

[Mr. Morden]

CBS News Poll:

Approve 40%
Disapprove 48%

Travel Ban:

Approve 45%
Disapprove 51%

Temporary Ban on Refugees:

Approve 45%
Disapprove 51%

Source

Here's the question wording:

"As you may know, Donald Trump has issued an executive order that temporarily bans people from entering the U.S. who are from the countries of Iraq, Iran, Libya, Somalia, Sudan, Syria, and Yemen. Do you approve or disapprove of this action?"

And the other question:

" As you may know, Donald Trump’s executive order also temporarily bans any refugees, those forced to leave their country due to violence or persecution, from entering the United States. Do you approve or disapprove of temporarily banning refugees from entering the U.S.?"

As you said, 45% approve and 51% disapprove of both.

Poll conducted Feb. 1-2.