Gallup Tracking Poll Thread [Obama vs McCain]

[Wiz in Wis]

Tuesday, September 30, 2008

Obama 49% (-1)
McCain 43% (+1)

Very disappointing.

lol? I'll take it.

I'll take it, but I had hoped he would build on his lead, at least a little bit.

Statistical noise is also a possibility... considering that every other tracker moved Obama's way today, and on other days they have each retreated, this is not surprising.

[King]

Friday should be fun.  It should carry both bailout failure and VP debate samples.

[Meeker]

Wednesday, October 1, 2008

Obama 48% (-1)
McCain 44% (+1)


Very interesting...

[Lunar]

NOOOOOO

[Ronnie]

McCainmentum!

[Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.]

Wednesday, October 1, 2008

Obama 48% (-1)
McCain 44% (+1)

don't tease me like that! 

dead cat bounce?

[Thomas Jackson]

So Sam, does this mean that there were two really good McCain samples, one really good McCain sample, or something else?

[Zarn]

I don't see why Obama fans see this as a problem. He still has a 4-6 point lead.

[Lief 🗽]

McCain should be tied by Friday.

[Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.]

McCain should be tied by Friday.

you are MEAN!

[ChrisFromNJ]

McCain should be tied by Friday.

LOL!

[Lunar]

I don't see why Obama fans see this as a problem. He still has a 4-6 point lead.

Because we're flighty and prone to mood swings.

[Sam Spade]

So Sam, does this mean that there were two really good McCain samples, one really good McCain sample, or something else?

When the chart of the last 7 days is (from beginning to end):

                           (D1)  (D2)  (D3/BO)   (today)
+/-0, O+3, O+5, O+8, O+8, O+6,        O+4

It stands to reason that the samples of the last two days were better than the two that fell off.  In fact, it is probable that this extends to all three days.

Much more than that, I can't say.

[The Vorlon]

I don't see why Obama fans see this as a problem. He still has a 4-6 point lead.

Because we're flighty and prone to mood swings.

and erratic, and politically unsound....

Don't worry.. in 20 years you will be a Libertarian or a conservative.. you are far too intelligent to continue to hold your current views..

[Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.]

When the chart of the last 7 days is (from beginning to end):

                           (D1)  (D2)  (D3/BO)   (today)
+/-0, O+3, O+5, O+8, O+8, O+6,        O+4

is Gallup the only one showing this trend towards McCain in the last couple of days?  seems to me McCain has stabilized at 6 - 8 points behind.  but, of course, when you fall a cliff, you eventually come to rest somewhere, though you may bounce a little before coming to a final resting place.

[cinyc]

Friday should be fun.  It should carry both bailout failure and VP debate samples.

I wouldn't expect much of a VP debate sample in Friday's polling.  No pollster will be polling the Eastern or Central time zones for their national polls when the debate ends at 10:30 Eastern/9:30 Central.  And most of the Mountain & Pacific polling will be conducted well before the end of the debate - If pollsters stop polling at 9PM, they only have about a half hour before ending Mountain polling and 1.5 hours before ending Pacific polling.

[Keystone Phil]

Keep going, baby.

[Lunar]

I don't see why Obama fans see this as a problem. He still has a 4-6 point lead.

Because we're flighty and prone to mood swings.

and erratic, and politically unsound....

Don't worry.. in 20 years you will be a Libertarian or a conservative.. you are far too intelligent to continue to hold your current views..

Aww.  I'm actually registered Libertarian and became Democratic because I'm moonlighting 10 hours a week at an online Democratic consulting firm.  So it's gone in the reverse direction

[The Vorlon]

I don't see why Obama fans see this as a problem. He still has a 4-6 point lead.

Because we're flighty and prone to mood swings.

and erratic, and politically unsound....

Don't worry.. in 20 years you will be a Libertarian or a conservative.. you are far too intelligent to continue to hold your current views..

Aww.  I'm actually registered Libertarian and became Democratic because I'm moonlighting 10 hours a week at an online Democratic consulting firm.  So it's gone in the reverse direction

(In Darth Vader voice)...

"You cannot imagine the power of the dark side.... join me and fullfill your destiny young jedi"

[Zarn]

I'm a libertarian... just registered Republican.

[MODU]

I'm a twenty-something trapped in an old mans body.

[Eraserhead]

I'm a twenty-something trapped in an old mans body.

Is that why you play GTA?

[ChrisFromNJ]

Thursday, October 2nd

Obama: 48 (NC)
McCain 43 (-1)

[Eraserhead]

http://Thursday, October 2nd.

Obama: 48 (NC)
McCain 43 (-1)

That's more like it.

[MODU]

I'm a twenty-something trapped in an old mans body.

Is that why you play GTA?

hahaha . . . probably.  You should have seen me back in the day playing Pong!  I was wicked with the little twisty controller.