NC-NSJ/CPA (R): Tillis +5 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
May 19, 2024, 12:31:27 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 Senate & House Election Polls
  NC-NSJ/CPA (R): Tillis +5 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: NC-NSJ/CPA (R): Tillis +5  (Read 1082 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,773


« on: October 30, 2020, 08:41:23 AM »

Changes with July 22-24 Cardinal Point Analytics poll:

North State Journal/Cardinal Point Analytics
Oct 27-28, 750 LV, MoE: 3.6%

Tillis (R-inc) 46% (+3)
Cunningham (D) 41% (-2)
Bray (L) 6% (+5)
Hayes (C) 2% (n/c)
Undecided 6% (-6)

PRES: 48-46 Trump
GOV: 47-45 Cooper

https://nsjonline.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/NSJ-CPA-2020-10-29-POLL_Results.pdf
Logged
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,773


« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2020, 10:53:01 AM »


Not at all. It's an internal first of all, there is no way Cooper is only up by 2 or the Libertarian candidate for Senate is getting 6% with Tillis still up by 5. Its methodology is also pretty sketch, 70% was automated dialing and apparently has a really high error associated with the crosstabs (the sample was like almost 80% white). Not even 100% sure it's allowed on 538.

It's on there. They're being treated as legitimate (unlike Trafalgar), just very Republican-leaning and a bit trashy to boot.
Logged
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,773


« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2020, 10:59:21 AM »


Not at all. It's an internal first of all, there is no way Cooper is only up by 2 or the Libertarian candidate for Senate is getting 6% with Tillis still up by 5. Its methodology is also pretty sketch, 70% was automated dialing and apparently has a really high error associated with the crosstabs (the sample was like almost 80% white). Not even 100% sure it's allowed on 538.

It's on there. They're being treated as legitimate (unlike Trafalgar), just very Republican-leaning and a bit trashy to boot.

Are you saying TRAFALGAR isn’t republican leaning!?!

I hope you’re not saying that cause there pills recently ... yikes

I'm saying Trafalgar are presumed to be faking their numbers by 538. They're not confident enough about that to give them an F this close to an election with partisan arguments flying all over the process, but they probable believe it to be the case or would be including their more recent polls.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.02 seconds with 11 queries.